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MLB · Mon, Aug 17, 2026
Athletics at Kansas City Royals
Final score: Athletics 5 · 9 Kansas City Royals. 12 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Game Total | over | 9 | 1.88 | +0.7% | WIN |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zack Gelof | Athletics | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.26 | +11.8% | 1 | LOSS |
| Kyle Isbel | Kansas City Royals | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.50 | +9.9% | 1 | WIN |
| Jeff McNeil | Athletics | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.56 | +9.5% | 4 | LOSS |
| Nick Loftin | Kansas City Royals | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.57 | +7.3% | n/a | PUSH |
| Mason Barnett | Athletics | Strikeouts | under | 3.5 | 1.78 | +7.2% | 2 | WIN |
| Jacob Wilson | Athletics | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.48 | +7.0% | n/a | PUSH |
| Jac Caglianone | Kansas City Royals | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.42 | +6.6% | 3 | LOSS |
| Isaac Collins | Kansas City Royals | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.52 | +5.0% | 0 | WIN |
| Carter Jensen | Kansas City Royals | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.70 | +1.1% | 2 | LOSS |
| Bobby Witt Jr. | Kansas City Royals | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.43 | +1.1% | 3 | LOSS |
| Michael Wacha | Kansas City Royals | Strikeouts | over | 4.5 | 1.77 | +0.0% | 3 | LOSS |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Kansas City Royals or Athleticsthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Kansas City Royals | 17 | 41.2% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Kansas City Royals | 25 | 40.0% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Kansas City Royals | 9 | 22.2% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Chicago White Sox at Kansas City Royals | 28 | 42.9% | View → |
| Wed, Sep 23, 2026 | Chicago White Sox at Kansas City Royals | 13 | 38.5% | View → |
| Wed, Sep 23, 2026 | Los Angeles Angels at Athletics | 19 | 31.6% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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