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MLB · Tue, Aug 18, 2026
St. Louis Cardinals at Cincinnati Reds
Final score: St. Louis Cardinals 3 · 0 Cincinnati Reds. 19 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | away | 0 | 1.81 | +1.5% | WIN |
| Game Total | under | 8.5 | 1.97 | +0.5% | WIN |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joshua Baez | St. Louis Cardinals | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.73 | +48.3% | 1 | WIN |
| Sal Stewart | Cincinnati Reds | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.78 | +42.3% | 0 | LOSS |
| Alec Burleson | St. Louis Cardinals | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.49 | +28.4% | 0 | LOSS |
| Joshua Baez | St. Louis Cardinals | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.37 | +27.3% | 0 | LOSS |
| Jordan Walker | St. Louis Cardinals | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.49 | +26.7% | 0 | LOSS |
| Alec Burleson | St. Louis Cardinals | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.23 | +22.4% | 2 | WIN |
| Elly De La Cruz | Cincinnati Reds | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.24 | +21.7% | 0 | LOSS |
| Ke'Bryan Hayes | Cincinnati Reds | Hits | under | 0.5 | 1.82 | +21.4% | 1 | LOSS |
| Elly De La Cruz | Cincinnati Reds | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.91 | +21.2% | 0 | LOSS |
| Jordan Walker | St. Louis Cardinals | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.12 | +19.9% | 1 | LOSS |
| Eugenio Suarez | Cincinnati Reds | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.81 | +16.2% | 0 | LOSS |
| Sal Stewart | Cincinnati Reds | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.12 | +11.6% | 1 | LOSS |
| Kyle Leahy | St. Louis Cardinals | Strikeouts | under | 5.5 | 1.69 | +9.8% | 6 | LOSS |
| JJ Bleday | Cincinnati Reds | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.40 | +8.5% | 0 | LOSS |
| JJ Wetherholt | St. Louis Cardinals | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.39 | +5.9% | 0 | WIN |
| Andrew Abbott | Cincinnati Reds | Strikeouts | under | 4.5 | 1.89 | +3.3% | 6 | LOSS |
| Ke'Bryan Hayes | Cincinnati Reds | RBIs | under | 0.5 | 1.20 | +2.6% | 0 | WIN |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Cincinnati Reds or St. Louis Cardinalsthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Cincinnati Reds at Toronto Blue Jays | 9 | 66.7% | View → |
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | St. Louis Cardinals at Milwaukee Brewers | 3 | 33.3% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | Cincinnati Reds at Toronto Blue Jays | 25 | 48.0% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | St. Louis Cardinals at Milwaukee Brewers | 23 | 43.5% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Cincinnati Reds at Toronto Blue Jays | 9 | 44.4% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | St. Louis Cardinals at Milwaukee Brewers | 26 | 42.3% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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