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MLB · Wed, Aug 19, 2026
Los Angeles Angels at Houston Astros
Final score: Los Angeles Angels 3 · 1 Houston Astros. 15 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cristian Javier | Houston Astros | Strikeouts | under | 4.5 | 2.05 | +35.6% | 5 | LOSS |
| Vaughn Grissom | Los Angeles Angels | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.08 | +34.0% | 0 | LOSS |
| Jeremy Pena | Houston Astros | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.08 | +25.3% | 0 | LOSS |
| Jeremy Pena | Houston Astros | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.22 | +21.3% | 0 | LOSS |
| Tyler Heineman | Los Angeles Angels | Hits | under | 0.5 | 1.94 | +19.6% | 0 | WIN |
| Christian Walker | Houston Astros | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.38 | +14.4% | 0 | LOSS |
| Yordan Alvarez | Houston Astros | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 1.78 | +14.0% | 0 | LOSS |
| Christian Walker | Houston Astros | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.57 | +13.8% | 0 | LOSS |
| Isaac Paredes | Houston Astros | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.60 | +12.5% | 0 | LOSS |
| Daulton Varsho | Houston Astros | RBIs | under | 0.5 | 1.47 | +11.0% | 0 | WIN |
| George Klassen | Los Angeles Angels | Strikeouts | over | 4.5 | 2.08 | +10.2% | 7 | WIN |
| Yordan Alvarez | Houston Astros | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.16 | +9.3% | 0 | LOSS |
| Isaac Paredes | Houston Astros | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.35 | +6.8% | 0 | LOSS |
| Daulton Varsho | Houston Astros | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.61 | +6.3% | 0 | WIN |
| Wade Meckler | Los Angeles Angels | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.51 | +3.3% | 1 | WIN |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Houston Astros or Los Angeles Angelsthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Los Angeles Angels at Seattle Mariners | 27 | 22.2% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Houston Astros at Seattle Mariners | 8 | 50.0% | View → |
| Wed, Sep 23, 2026 | Houston Astros at Seattle Mariners | 10 | 50.0% | View → |
| Wed, Sep 23, 2026 | Los Angeles Angels at Athletics | 19 | 31.6% | View → |
| Sun, Sep 20, 2026 | Minnesota Twins at Los Angeles Angels | 6 | 33.3% | View → |
| Sun, Sep 20, 2026 | Atlanta Braves at Houston Astros | 8 | 25.0% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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