Private North American Sports ConsultingLimited AccessNBA · NHL · NFL · MLBVerified Track Record · 2026 YTDBy Application OnlySports betting carries real risk · Past results don’t guarantee future ones18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.orgPrivate North American Sports ConsultingLimited AccessNBA · NHL · NFL · MLBVerified Track Record · 2026 YTDBy Application OnlySports betting carries real risk · Past results don’t guarantee future ones18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org
MLB · Wed, Aug 19, 2026
St. Louis Cardinals at Cincinnati Reds
Final score: St. Louis Cardinals 4 · 5 Cincinnati Reds. 9 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | away | 0 | 2.23 | +12.3% | LOSS |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Walker | St. Louis Cardinals | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.30 | +29.6% | 4 | WIN |
| Ke'Bryan Hayes | Cincinnati Reds | Hits | under | 0.5 | 1.88 | +24.5% | 0 | WIN |
| Dane Myers | Cincinnati Reds | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.55 | +21.8% | 1 | WIN |
| Matthew Liberatore | St. Louis Cardinals | Strikeouts | under | 5.5 | 1.95 | +20.1% | 9 | LOSS |
| Elly De La Cruz | Cincinnati Reds | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.16 | +16.4% | 1 | LOSS |
| Alec Burleson | St. Louis Cardinals | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.07 | +13.7% | 1 | LOSS |
| Sal Stewart | Cincinnati Reds | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.05 | +7.5% | 4 | WIN |
| Jordan Walker | St. Louis Cardinals | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.52 | +1.4% | 1 | WIN |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Cincinnati Reds or St. Louis Cardinalsthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Cincinnati Reds at Toronto Blue Jays | 9 | 66.7% | View → |
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | St. Louis Cardinals at Milwaukee Brewers | 3 | 33.3% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | Cincinnati Reds at Toronto Blue Jays | 25 | 48.0% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | St. Louis Cardinals at Milwaukee Brewers | 23 | 43.5% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Cincinnati Reds at Toronto Blue Jays | 9 | 44.4% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | St. Louis Cardinals at Milwaukee Brewers | 26 | 42.3% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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