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MLB · Thu, Aug 20, 2026
St. Louis Cardinals at Cincinnati Reds
Final score: St. Louis Cardinals 10 · 9 Cincinnati Reds. 12 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | away | 0 | 1.89 | +5.2% | WIN |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hector Rodriguez | Cincinnati Reds | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.18 | +35.7% | 1 | LOSS |
| Ke'Bryan Hayes | Cincinnati Reds | Hits | under | 0.5 | 1.93 | +28.4% | 1 | LOSS |
| Jordan Walker | St. Louis Cardinals | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.12 | +20.4% | 4 | WIN |
| Sal Stewart | Cincinnati Reds | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.22 | +17.6% | 1 | LOSS |
| Elly De La Cruz | Cincinnati Reds | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.17 | +16.5% | 1 | LOSS |
| Joshua Baez | St. Louis Cardinals | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.38 | +14.2% | 0 | LOSS |
| Michael McGreevy | St. Louis Cardinals | Strikeouts | under | 4.5 | 1.87 | +9.6% | 4 | WIN |
| Nathan Church | St. Louis Cardinals | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.52 | +7.7% | 1 | WIN |
| Brady Singer | Cincinnati Reds | Strikeouts | over | 4.5 | 2.15 | +5.7% | 3 | LOSS |
| Alec Burleson | St. Louis Cardinals | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.47 | +3.8% | 1 | WIN |
| Alec Burleson | St. Louis Cardinals | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 1.85 | +1.2% | 1 | LOSS |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Cincinnati Reds or St. Louis Cardinalsthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Cincinnati Reds at Toronto Blue Jays | 9 | 66.7% | View → |
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | St. Louis Cardinals at Milwaukee Brewers | 3 | 33.3% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | Cincinnati Reds at Toronto Blue Jays | 25 | 48.0% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | St. Louis Cardinals at Milwaukee Brewers | 23 | 43.5% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Cincinnati Reds at Toronto Blue Jays | 9 | 44.4% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | St. Louis Cardinals at Milwaukee Brewers | 26 | 42.3% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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