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MLB · Fri, Aug 21, 2026
New York Mets at Chicago White Sox
Final score: New York Mets 4 · 6 Chicago White Sox. 7 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Manaea | New York Mets | Strikeouts | under | 5.5 | 2.12 | +44.7% | 4 | WIN |
| Francisco Lindor | New York Mets | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.41 | +13.7% | 0 | LOSS |
| Miguel Vargas | Chicago White Sox | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.12 | +12.5% | 6 | WIN |
| Jake Rogers | Chicago White Sox | Hits | under | 0.5 | 1.72 | +7.2% | 1 | LOSS |
| Bo Bichette | New York Mets | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.35 | +5.1% | 4 | WIN |
| Sean Burke | Chicago White Sox | Strikeouts | under | 6.5 | 1.70 | +3.1% | 4 | WIN |
| Brett Baty | New York Mets | Hits | over | 0.5 | 2.08 | +0.6% | 2 | WIN |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Chicago White Sox or New York Mets that we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Oct 11, 2026 | Chicago White Sox at Cleveland Guardians | 31 | 19.4% | View → |
| Fri, Oct 9, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Chicago White Sox | 25 | 36.0% | View → |
| Wed, Oct 7, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Chicago White Sox | 27 | 37.0% | View → |
| Mon, Oct 5, 2026 | Chicago White Sox at Cleveland Guardians | 29 | 44.8% | View → |
| Sat, Oct 3, 2026 | Chicago White Sox at Cleveland Guardians | 28 | 39.3% | View → |
| Tue, Sep 29, 2026 | Chicago White Sox at Houston Astros | 21 | 23.8% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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