Private North American Sports ConsultingLimited AccessNBA · NHL · NFL · MLBVerified Track Record · 2026 YTDBy Application OnlySports betting carries real risk · Past results don’t guarantee future ones18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.orgPrivate North American Sports ConsultingLimited AccessNBA · NHL · NFL · MLBVerified Track Record · 2026 YTDBy Application OnlySports betting carries real risk · Past results don’t guarantee future ones18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org
MLB · Sun, Aug 30, 2026
Boston Red Sox at New York Yankees
Final score: Boston Red Sox 1 · 16 New York Yankees. 7 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Rice | New York Yankees | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.35 | +34.3% | n/a | PUSH |
| Ceddanne Rafaela | Boston Red Sox | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.29 | +19.7% | 0 | LOSS |
| Wilyer Abreu | Boston Red Sox | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.17 | +13.2% | 2 | WIN |
| Cody Bellinger | New York Yankees | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.48 | +9.7% | 2 | WIN |
| Ranger Suarez | Boston Red Sox | Strikeouts | under | 5.5 | 1.82 | +5.9% | 2 | WIN |
| Ali Sanchez | New York Yankees | Hits | under | 0.5 | 1.65 | +3.3% | 0 | WIN |
| Will Warren | New York Yankees | Strikeouts | over | 4.5 | 1.83 | +2.4% | 7 | WIN |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving New York Yankees or Boston Red Soxthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Baltimore Orioles at New York Yankees | 23 | 52.2% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Chicago Cubs at Boston Red Sox | 17 | 29.4% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at New York Yankees | 11 | 36.4% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Boston Red Sox | 19 | 21.1% | View → |
| Wed, Sep 23, 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at New York Yankees | 5 | 60.0% | View → |
| Wed, Sep 23, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Boston Red Sox | 10 | 40.0% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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