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MLB · Thu, Sep 24, 2026
Cleveland Guardians at Boston Red Sox
Final score: Cleveland Guardians 1 · 0 Boston Red Sox. 19 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adley Rutschman | Boston Red Sox | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.47 | +54.7% | 0 | LOSS |
| Brayan Rocchio | Cleveland Guardians | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.91 | +46.8% | 0 | LOSS |
| Travis Bazzana | Cleveland Guardians | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.70 | +41.0% | 0 | LOSS |
| Chase DeLauter | Cleveland Guardians | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.38 | +33.6% | 0 | LOSS |
| Angel Martinez | Cleveland Guardians | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.21 | +30.2% | 1 | WIN |
| Caleb Durbin | Boston Red Sox | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.69 | +29.7% | 0 | LOSS |
| Jo Adell | Cleveland Guardians | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.87 | +29.1% | 0 | LOSS |
| Trevor Story | Boston Red Sox | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.36 | +28.9% | 0 | LOSS |
| Jarren Duran | Boston Red Sox | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.32 | +25.2% | 0 | LOSS |
| David Fry | Cleveland Guardians | Hits | under | 0.5 | 1.86 | +23.9% | 1 | LOSS |
| Ranger Suarez | Boston Red Sox | Strikeouts | over | 4.5 | 2.12 | +22.8% | 5 | WIN |
| Jose Ramirez | Cleveland Guardians | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.80 | +16.5% | 2 | LOSS |
| Jose Ramirez | Cleveland Guardians | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.27 | +13.5% | 0 | LOSS |
| Wilyer Abreu | Boston Red Sox | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.85 | +9.9% | 0 | LOSS |
| Mickey Gasper | Boston Red Sox | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.38 | +8.9% | 0 | LOSS |
| Angel Martinez | Cleveland Guardians | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.57 | +8.3% | 1 | LOSS |
| Jo Adell | Cleveland Guardians | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.53 | +2.7% | 0 | WIN |
| Steven Kwan | Cleveland Guardians | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.71 | +0.3% | 0 | WIN |
| Nick Sogard | Boston Red Sox | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.52 | +0.0% | 0 | LOSS |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Boston Red Sox or Cleveland Guardiansthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Kansas City Royals | 17 | 41.2% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Kansas City Royals | 25 | 40.0% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Kansas City Royals | 9 | 22.2% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Chicago Cubs at Boston Red Sox | 17 | 29.4% | View → |
| Wed, Sep 23, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Boston Red Sox | 10 | 40.0% | View → |
| Tue, Sep 22, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Boston Red Sox | 25 | 24.0% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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