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MLB · Fri, Sep 25, 2026
Chicago Cubs at Boston Red Sox
Final score: Chicago Cubs 0 · 2 Boston Red Sox. 17 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Game Total | over | 6.5 | 1.97 | +17.5% | LOSS |
| Moneyline | home | 0 | 2.01 | +0.6% | WIN |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pete Crow-Armstrong | Chicago Cubs | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.30 | +60.6% | 0 | LOSS |
| Seiya Suzuki | Chicago Cubs | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.52 | +60.1% | 0 | LOSS |
| Jarren Duran | Boston Red Sox | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 4.21 | +58.0% | 0 | LOSS |
| Trevor Story | Boston Red Sox | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.91 | +48.4% | 0 | LOSS |
| Carson Kelly | Chicago Cubs | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.64 | +40.4% | 0 | LOSS |
| Ian Happ | Chicago Cubs | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.85 | +39.4% | 0 | LOSS |
| Wilyer Abreu | Boston Red Sox | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.53 | +35.4% | 2 | WIN |
| Pedro Ramirez | Chicago Cubs | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.82 | +31.8% | 0 | LOSS |
| Michael Busch | Chicago Cubs | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.32 | +29.3% | 0 | LOSS |
| Roman Anthony | Boston Red Sox | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 4.20 | +16.0% | 0 | LOSS |
| Nico Hoerner | Chicago Cubs | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.96 | +10.2% | 0 | LOSS |
| Nick Sogard | Boston Red Sox | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.79 | +6.4% | 0 | LOSS |
| Pedro Ramirez | Chicago Cubs | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.24 | +2.8% | 0 | WIN |
| Wilyer Abreu | Boston Red Sox | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.67 | +2.1% | 1 | WIN |
| Nick Sogard | Boston Red Sox | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.70 | +1.9% | 1 | WIN |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Boston Red Sox or Chicago Cubsthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Miami Marlins at Chicago Cubs | 20 | 40.0% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Boston Red Sox | 19 | 21.1% | View → |
| Wed, Sep 23, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Boston Red Sox | 10 | 40.0% | View → |
| Tue, Sep 22, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Boston Red Sox | 25 | 24.0% | View → |
| Sun, Sep 20, 2026 | Boston Red Sox at Tampa Bay Rays | 9 | 33.3% | View → |
| Sun, Sep 20, 2026 | Chicago Cubs at Cincinnati Reds | 12 | 58.3% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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