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MLB · Wed, Sep 23, 2026
Cleveland Guardians at Boston Red Sox
Final score: Cleveland Guardians 0 · 1 Boston Red Sox. 10 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jahmai Jones | Boston Red Sox | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.26 | +55.5% | 2 | LOSS |
| Isiah Kiner-Falefa | Boston Red Sox | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.31 | +25.0% | 0 | WIN |
| Patrick Bailey | Cleveland Guardians | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.02 | +12.8% | 1 | LOSS |
| Foster Griffin | Cleveland Guardians | Strikeouts | over | 4.5 | 1.91 | +11.2% | 7 | WIN |
| Sonny Gray | Boston Red Sox | Strikeouts | over | 4.5 | 1.82 | +10.4% | 3 | LOSS |
| Jose Ramirez | Cleveland Guardians | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.67 | +10.3% | 0 | WIN |
| Steven Kwan | Cleveland Guardians | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.90 | +8.1% | 2 | LOSS |
| Caleb Durbin | Boston Red Sox | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.45 | +6.4% | 0 | WIN |
| Adley Rutschman | Boston Red Sox | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.54 | +6.0% | 1 | LOSS |
| Roman Anthony | Boston Red Sox | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.55 | +3.9% | 1 | LOSS |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Boston Red Sox or Cleveland Guardiansthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Kansas City Royals | 17 | 41.2% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Kansas City Royals | 25 | 40.0% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Kansas City Royals | 9 | 22.2% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Chicago Cubs at Boston Red Sox | 17 | 29.4% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Boston Red Sox | 19 | 21.1% | View → |
| Tue, Sep 22, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Boston Red Sox | 25 | 24.0% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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