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MLB · Sat, Sep 5, 2026
San Francisco Giants at New York Mets
Final score: San Francisco Giants 9 · 5 New York Mets. 14 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | away | 0 | 2.53 | +2.3% | WIN |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Turner Hill | San Francisco Giants | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 4.18 | +101.1% | 0 | LOSS |
| Rafael Devers | San Francisco Giants | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.13 | +43.9% | 3 | WIN |
| Shay Whitcomb | San Francisco Giants | Hits | under | 0.5 | 1.88 | +32.3% | 1 | LOSS |
| Juan Soto | New York Mets | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.66 | +22.4% | 0 | LOSS |
| Juan Soto | New York Mets | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.18 | +17.9% | 0 | LOSS |
| Jung Hoo Lee | San Francisco Giants | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.57 | +15.9% | n/a | PUSH |
| Zach Thornton | New York Mets | Strikeouts | over | 4.5 | 1.75 | +8.6% | 6 | WIN |
| Anthony Molina | San Francisco Giants | Strikeouts | over | 3.5 | 1.86 | +8.1% | 6 | WIN |
| Carson Benge | New York Mets | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.28 | +5.6% | 0 | LOSS |
| Francisco Lindor | New York Mets | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.15 | +4.7% | 0 | LOSS |
| Christian Koss | San Francisco Giants | RBIs | under | 0.5 | 1.21 | +3.2% | 3 | LOSS |
| Bo Bichette | New York Mets | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.41 | +2.0% | 0 | WIN |
| Andrew Knizner | San Francisco Giants | RBIs | under | 0.5 | 1.28 | +0.1% | 0 | WIN |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving New York Mets or San Francisco Giantsthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | New York Mets at Washington Nationals | 11 | 36.4% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | New York Mets at Washington Nationals | 17 | 52.9% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | Los Angeles Dodgers at San Francisco Giants | 10 | 30.0% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | New York Mets at Washington Nationals | 25 | 48.0% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | New York Mets at Texas Rangers | 15 | 46.7% | View → |
| Wed, Sep 23, 2026 | New York Mets at Texas Rangers | 12 | 83.3% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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