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MLB · Fri, Sep 25, 2026
New York Mets at Washington Nationals
Final score: New York Mets 6 · 7 Washington Nationals. 25 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home | 0 | 2.13 | +9.2% | WIN |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CJ Abrams | Washington Nationals | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.11 | +54.1% | 2 | WIN |
| Keibert Ruiz | Washington Nationals | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.69 | +36.8% | 1 | WIN |
| Brady House | Washington Nationals | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.40 | +32.5% | 0 | LOSS |
| James Wood | Washington Nationals | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.00 | +32.3% | 0 | LOSS |
| Juan Soto | New York Mets | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.81 | +30.5% | 0 | LOSS |
| Jacob Young | Washington Nationals | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 4.17 | +27.7% | 0 | LOSS |
| Daylen Lile | Washington Nationals | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.91 | +24.8% | 1 | WIN |
| Mark Vientos | New York Mets | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.38 | +20.9% | 1 | LOSS |
| Francisco Lindor | New York Mets | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.79 | +15.5% | 1 | LOSS |
| Marcus Semien | New York Mets | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.44 | +13.5% | 0 | WIN |
| Francisco Lindor | New York Mets | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.98 | +12.9% | 0 | LOSS |
| Abimelec Ortiz | Washington Nationals | Hits | under | 0.5 | 1.99 | +9.2% | 0 | WIN |
| Dylan Crews | Washington Nationals | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.21 | +9.2% | 1 | WIN |
| Mark Vientos | New York Mets | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.89 | +7.8% | 2 | WIN |
| Jorbit Vivas | Washington Nationals | Hits | under | 0.5 | 1.99 | +6.0% | 0 | WIN |
| Bo Bichette | New York Mets | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.45 | +5.7% | 2 | LOSS |
| Juan Soto | New York Mets | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.77 | +5.5% | 2 | LOSS |
| Abimelec Ortiz | Washington Nationals | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.56 | +4.6% | 0 | LOSS |
| Francisco Alvarez | New York Mets | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.24 | +4.6% | 1 | WIN |
| Keibert Ruiz | Washington Nationals | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.78 | +4.4% | 1 | WIN |
| Andrew Alvarez | Washington Nationals | Strikeouts | under | 4.5 | 2.11 | +3.6% | 7 | LOSS |
| Dylan Crews | Washington Nationals | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.35 | +3.0% | 1 | LOSS |
| CJ Abrams | Washington Nationals | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.61 | +1.0% | 1 | WIN |
| Carson Benge | New York Mets | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.82 | +0.6% | 2 | LOSS |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Washington Nationals or New York Metsthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | New York Mets at Washington Nationals | 11 | 36.4% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | New York Mets at Washington Nationals | 17 | 52.9% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | New York Mets at Texas Rangers | 15 | 46.7% | View → |
| Wed, Sep 23, 2026 | New York Mets at Texas Rangers | 12 | 83.3% | View → |
| Wed, Sep 23, 2026 | Washington Nationals at Detroit Tigers | 28 | 32.1% | View → |
| Tue, Sep 22, 2026 | Washington Nationals at Detroit Tigers | 1 | 0.0% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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