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MLB · Sun, Sep 27, 2026
New York Mets at Washington Nationals
Final score: New York Mets 4 · 6 Washington Nationals. 11 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home | 0 | 1.91 | +2.9% | WIN |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Manaea | New York Mets | Strikeouts | under | 5.5 | 2.04 | +39.0% | 3 | WIN |
| DJ Herz | Washington Nationals | Strikeouts | over | 4.5 | 1.94 | +19.5% | 2 | LOSS |
| Marcus Semien | New York Mets | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.44 | +14.1% | 1 | LOSS |
| Francisco Lindor | New York Mets | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.70 | +12.6% | 2 | LOSS |
| Harry Ford | Washington Nationals | Hits | under | 0.5 | 1.90 | +11.5% | 1 | LOSS |
| Luis Torrens | New York Mets | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.16 | +10.1% | 0 | WIN |
| Dylan Crews | Washington Nationals | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.49 | +9.8% | 1 | LOSS |
| Brady House | Washington Nationals | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.41 | +5.8% | 1 | LOSS |
| Nasim Nunez | Washington Nationals | Hits | under | 0.5 | 1.90 | +2.5% | 1 | LOSS |
| Bo Bichette | New York Mets | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.41 | +2.5% | 1 | WIN |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Washington Nationals or New York Metsthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | New York Mets at Washington Nationals | 17 | 52.9% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | New York Mets at Washington Nationals | 25 | 48.0% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | New York Mets at Texas Rangers | 15 | 46.7% | View → |
| Wed, Sep 23, 2026 | New York Mets at Texas Rangers | 12 | 83.3% | View → |
| Wed, Sep 23, 2026 | Washington Nationals at Detroit Tigers | 28 | 32.1% | View → |
| Tue, Sep 22, 2026 | Washington Nationals at Detroit Tigers | 1 | 0.0% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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