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MLB · Sat, Sep 26, 2026
New York Mets at Washington Nationals
Final score: New York Mets 7 · 1 Washington Nationals. 17 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home | 0 | 2.12 | +9.0% | LOSS |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juan Soto | New York Mets | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.66 | +22.7% | 0 | LOSS |
| Francisco Lindor | New York Mets | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.88 | +19.1% | 0 | WIN |
| Abimelec Ortiz | Washington Nationals | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.10 | +16.6% | 0 | WIN |
| Jorbit Vivas | Washington Nationals | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.13 | +15.1% | 0 | WIN |
| Mark Vientos | New York Mets | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.90 | +11.1% | 0 | LOSS |
| Daylen Lile | Washington Nationals | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.80 | +10.7% | 0 | WIN |
| Mark Vientos | New York Mets | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.17 | +9.8% | 0 | WIN |
| Francisco Alvarez | New York Mets | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.33 | +7.3% | 0 | WIN |
| Dylan Crews | Washington Nationals | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.42 | +5.9% | 0 | WIN |
| Bo Bichette | New York Mets | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.44 | +4.7% | 1 | WIN |
| Jonah Tong | New York Mets | Strikeouts | over | 4.5 | 1.87 | +2.3% | 9 | WIN |
| Brady House | Washington Nationals | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.31 | +1.6% | 1 | LOSS |
| Bo Bichette | New York Mets | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.59 | +1.3% | 0 | LOSS |
| Juan Soto | New York Mets | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.68 | +1.2% | 2 | LOSS |
| Carson Benge | New York Mets | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.93 | +0.9% | 0 | LOSS |
| Francisco Lindor | New York Mets | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.66 | +0.1% | 0 | LOSS |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Washington Nationals or New York Metsthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | New York Mets at Washington Nationals | 11 | 36.4% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | New York Mets at Washington Nationals | 25 | 48.0% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | New York Mets at Texas Rangers | 15 | 46.7% | View → |
| Wed, Sep 23, 2026 | New York Mets at Texas Rangers | 12 | 83.3% | View → |
| Wed, Sep 23, 2026 | Washington Nationals at Detroit Tigers | 28 | 32.1% | View → |
| Tue, Sep 22, 2026 | Washington Nationals at Detroit Tigers | 1 | 0.0% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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