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NFL · Mon, Sep 14, 2026
Dallas Cowboys at New York Giants
Final score: Dallas Cowboys 20 · 28 New York Giants. 27 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Game Total | over | 48.5 | 1.95 | +19.8% | LOSS |
| Spread | home | 3 | 1.87 | +1.5% | WIN |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KaVontae Turpin | Dallas Cowboys | Receptions | over | 1.5 | 2.73 | +57.9% | 1 | LOSS |
| Theo Johnson | New York Giants | Receptions | over | 1.5 | 1.91 | +53.8% | 1 | LOSS |
| Isaiah Likely | New York Giants | Receiving Yards | under | 38.5 | 1.88 | +49.8% | 78 | LOSS |
| KaVontae Turpin | Dallas Cowboys | Receiving Yards | over | 8.5 | 1.94 | +48.1% | 8 | LOSS |
| Isaiah Likely | New York Giants | Receptions | under | 3.5 | 1.75 | +46.4% | 8 | LOSS |
| Theo Johnson | New York Giants | Receiving Yards | over | 14.5 | 1.88 | +41.2% | 9 | LOSS |
| Jaxson Dart | New York Giants | Passing Yards | under | 213.5 | 1.89 | +37.6% | 230 | LOSS |
| CeeDee Lamb | Dallas Cowboys | Receptions | under | 5.5 | 2.19 | +33.0% | 5 | WIN |
| Malik Nabers | New York Giants | Receptions | under | 4.5 | 2.14 | +31.8% | 6 | LOSS |
| Jake Ferguson | Dallas Cowboys | Receptions | over | 3.5 | 1.87 | +25.8% | 2 | LOSS |
| Darnell Mooney | New York Giants | Receptions | over | 1.5 | 1.87 | +24.5% | 2 | WIN |
| Cam Skattebo | New York Giants | Receiving Yards | over | 16.5 | 1.92 | +23.2% | 0 | LOSS |
| Javonte Williams | Dallas Cowboys | Rushing Yards | under | 76.5 | 1.88 | +23.2% | 41 | WIN |
| Cam Skattebo | New York Giants | Receptions | over | 2.5 | 2.10 | +23.0% | 0 | LOSS |
| CeeDee Lamb | Dallas Cowboys | Receiving Yards | under | 75.5 | 1.88 | +23.0% | 44 | WIN |
| KaVontae Turpin | Dallas Cowboys | Rushing Yards | over | 4.5 | 1.89 | +18.5% | 0 | LOSS |
| Dak Prescott | Dallas Cowboys | Rushing Yards | over | 8.5 | 1.88 | +14.0% | 14 | WIN |
| Cam Skattebo | New York Giants | Rushing Yards | under | 49.5 | 1.91 | +11.0% | 81 | LOSS |
| Malik Nabers | New York Giants | Receiving Yards | under | 56.5 | 1.90 | +10.6% | 69 | LOSS |
| Jaxson Dart | New York Giants | Passing TDs | under | 1.5 | 1.59 | +10.5% | 3 | LOSS |
| Darnell Mooney | New York Giants | Receiving Yards | over | 22.5 | 1.92 | +9.9% | 27 | WIN |
| Ryan Flournoy | Dallas Cowboys | Receptions | over | 2.5 | 2.27 | +9.3% | 2 | LOSS |
| Dak Prescott | Dallas Cowboys | Passing TDs | under | 1.5 | 2.10 | +3.2% | 2 | LOSS |
| Ryan Flournoy | Dallas Cowboys | Receiving Yards | over | 24.5 | 1.90 | +2.6% | 22 | LOSS |
| Jake Ferguson | Dallas Cowboys | Receiving Yards | over | 28.5 | 1.86 | +0.6% | 6 | LOSS |
Recent NFL games for these teams
Other games involving New York Giants or Dallas Cowboysthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Baltimore Ravens at Dallas Cowboys | 55 | 63.6% | View → |
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Tennessee Titans at New York Giants | 41 | 70.7% | View → |
Tomorrow’s NFL edges drop at 01:00 ET
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