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NFL · Sun, Oct 25, 2026
New York Giants at Houston Texans
Final score: New York Giants 27 · 21 Houston Texans. 42 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | away | 0 | 4.90 | +47.0% | WIN |
| Spread | away | -10.5 | 1.89 | +1.4% | WIN |
| Game Total | over | 42.5 | 1.89 | +0.7% | WIN |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xavier Hutchinson | Houston Texans | Receptions | over | 1.5 | 2.64 | +75.8% | 3 | WIN |
| Cam Skattebo | New York Giants | Rushing Yards | over | 28.5 | 1.89 | +58.9% | 124 | WIN |
| Dalton Schultz | Houston Texans | Receptions | over | 3.5 | 2.33 | +58.7% | 5 | WIN |
| Kayshon Boutte | Houston Texans | Receptions | over | 1.5 | 2.55 | +56.3% | 1 | LOSS |
| Xavier Hutchinson | Houston Texans | Receiving Yards | over | 14.5 | 1.93 | +51.7% | 17 | WIN |
| Kayshon Boutte | Houston Texans | Receiving Yards | over | 9.5 | 1.87 | +51.4% | 25 | WIN |
| Tyrone Tracy Jr. | New York Giants | Rushing Yards | over | 23.5 | 1.90 | +47.1% | 15 | LOSS |
| Isaiah Likely | New York Giants | Receptions | under | 5.5 | 1.85 | +45.2% | 2 | WIN |
| Kayshon Boutte | Houston Texans | Receiving Yards | over | 11.5 | 1.85 | +44.5% | 25 | WIN |
| J.J. McCarthy | New York Giants | Rushing Yards | under | 23.5 | 1.93 | +44.4% | 1 | WIN |
| Isaiah Likely | New York Giants | Receiving Yards | under | 52.5 | 1.90 | +44.1% | 12 | WIN |
| Woody Marks | Houston Texans | Receiving Yards | under | 15.5 | 1.86 | +43.1% | 15 | WIN |
| C.J. Stroud | Houston Texans | Passing TDs | under | 1.5 | 2.30 | +39.5% | 2 | LOSS |
| Isaiah Likely | New York Giants | Receiving Yards | under | 48.5 | 1.91 | +37.3% | 12 | WIN |
| J.J. McCarthy | New York Giants | Passing Yards | under | 203.5 | 1.88 | +36.7% | 252 | LOSS |
| J.J. McCarthy | New York Giants | Passing Yards | under | 200.5 | 1.89 | +35.0% | 252 | LOSS |
| Woody Marks | Houston Texans | Receptions | under | 2.5 | 1.77 | +33.4% | 1 | WIN |
| Woody Marks | Houston Texans | Receiving Yards | under | 13.5 | 1.85 | +32.6% | 15 | LOSS |
| Jaylin Noel | Houston Texans | Receiving Yards | under | 29.5 | 1.91 | +31.8% | 0 | WIN |
| Jaylin Noel | Houston Texans | Receptions | under | 2.5 | 1.79 | +31.5% | 2 | WIN |
| Malachi Fields | New York Giants | Receiving Yards | over | 17.5 | 1.89 | +30.7% | 83 | WIN |
| Woody Marks | Houston Texans | Rushing Yards | under | 63.5 | 1.89 | +29.2% | 66 | LOSS |
| Jaylin Noel | Houston Texans | Receiving Yards | under | 27.5 | 1.90 | +26.4% | 0 | WIN |
| Nico Collins | Houston Texans | Receiving Yards | over | 67.5 | 1.90 | +23.9% | 6 | LOSS |
| Darnell Mooney | New York Giants | Receiving Yards | over | 16.5 | 1.88 | +22.7% | 4 | LOSS |
| Nico Collins | Houston Texans | Receiving Yards | over | 68.5 | 1.91 | +22.3% | 6 | LOSS |
| Darnell Mooney | New York Giants | Receptions | over | 1.5 | 2.12 | +21.8% | 1 | LOSS |
| Malachi Fields | New York Giants | Receiving Yards | over | 20.5 | 1.89 | +19.0% | 83 | WIN |
| Darnell Mooney | New York Giants | Receiving Yards | over | 17.5 | 1.86 | +18.0% | 4 | LOSS |
| Tyrone Tracy Jr. | New York Giants | Receptions | over | 1.5 | 2.04 | +17.2% | 1 | LOSS |
| Devin Singletary | New York Giants | Receiving Yards | under | 7.5 | 1.91 | +15.4% | 14 | LOSS |
| Malachi Fields | New York Giants | Receptions | over | 1.5 | 1.72 | +15.1% | 4 | WIN |
| Tyrone Tracy Jr. | New York Giants | Receiving Yards | under | 8.5 | 1.93 | +13.9% | 2 | WIN |
| Dalton Schultz | Houston Texans | Receiving Yards | over | 27.5 | 1.90 | +10.4% | 45 | WIN |
| Dalton Schultz | Houston Texans | Receiving Yards | over | 28.5 | 1.92 | +9.2% | 45 | WIN |
| Devin Singletary | New York Giants | Receptions | over | 1.5 | 2.23 | +8.5% | 3 | WIN |
| Marvin Harrison Jr. | Houston Texans | Receiving Yards | over | 28.5 | 1.90 | +6.3% | 6 | LOSS |
| C.J. Stroud | Houston Texans | Rushing Yards | under | 9.5 | 1.86 | +6.3% | 4 | WIN |
| Marvin Harrison Jr. | Houston Texans | Receptions | under | 2.5 | 1.93 | +3.1% | 1 | WIN |
Recent NFL games for these teams
Other games involving Houston Texans or New York Giants that we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Oct 18, 2026 | New Orleans Saints at New York Giants | 40 | 30.0% | View → |
| Sun, Oct 18, 2026 | Houston Texans at Jacksonville Jaguars | 48 | 62.5% | View → |
| Sun, Oct 11, 2026 | New York Giants at Washington Commanders | 39 | 36.8% | View → |
| Sun, Oct 11, 2026 | Houston Texans at Tennessee Titans | 47 | 68.1% | View → |
| Sun, Oct 4, 2026 | Arizona Cardinals at New York Giants | 32 | 43.8% | View → |
| Sun, Oct 4, 2026 | Dallas Cowboys at Houston Texans | 38 | 52.6% | View → |
Tomorrow’s NFL edges drop at 01:00 ET
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