Private North American Sports ConsultingLimited AccessNBA · NHL · NFL · MLBVerified Track Record · 2026 YTDBy Application OnlySports betting carries real risk · Past results don’t guarantee future ones18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.orgPrivate North American Sports ConsultingLimited AccessNBA · NHL · NFL · MLBVerified Track Record · 2026 YTDBy Application OnlySports betting carries real risk · Past results don’t guarantee future ones18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org
MLB · Sun, Sep 20, 2026
New York Yankees at Arizona Diamondbacks
Final score: New York Yankees 4 · 8 Arizona Diamondbacks. 9 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Game Total | under | 8.5 | 1.87 | +7.6% | LOSS |
| Game Total | under | 7.5 | 1.81 | +0.3% | LOSS |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Pfaadt | Arizona Diamondbacks | Strikeouts | under | 4.5 | 1.79 | +24.5% | 3 | WIN |
| Cam Schlittler | New York Yankees | Strikeouts | over | 6.5 | 2.26 | +23.5% | 6 | LOSS |
| Corbin Burnes | Arizona Diamondbacks | Strikeouts | over | 4.5 | 2.15 | +20.3% | 2 | LOSS |
| Luis Garcia Jr. | New York Yankees | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.42 | +5.9% | 1 | WIN |
| Ben Rice | New York Yankees | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.37 | +2.1% | 0 | WIN |
| Will Warren | New York Yankees | Strikeouts | over | 4.5 | 1.80 | +1.5% | 4 | LOSS |
| Cody Bellinger | New York Yankees | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.37 | +0.4% | 0 | WIN |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Arizona Diamondbacks or New York Yankeesthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Baltimore Orioles at New York Yankees | 23 | 52.2% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at New York Yankees | 11 | 36.4% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Arizona Diamondbacks at Colorado Rockies | 38 | 57.9% | View → |
| Wed, Sep 23, 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at New York Yankees | 5 | 60.0% | View → |
| Wed, Sep 23, 2026 | Arizona Diamondbacks at Colorado Rockies | 24 | 37.5% | View → |
| Tue, Sep 22, 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at New York Yankees | 5 | 40.0% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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