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MLB · Wed, Sep 23, 2026
Washington Nationals at Detroit Tigers
Final score: Washington Nationals 4 · 2 Detroit Tigers. 28 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | away | 0 | 2.48 | +2.0% | WIN |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yohandy Morales | Washington Nationals | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 4.11 | +77.1% | 2 | WIN |
| CJ Abrams | Washington Nationals | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.22 | +59.2% | 1 | WIN |
| Brady House | Washington Nationals | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.53 | +38.7% | 0 | LOSS |
| James Wood | Washington Nationals | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.15 | +38.4% | 1 | WIN |
| Ben Malgeri | Detroit Tigers | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.26 | +35.0% | 2 | LOSS |
| Jacob Young | Washington Nationals | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 4.36 | +34.3% | 0 | LOSS |
| John Peck | Detroit Tigers | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.26 | +30.2% | 0 | WIN |
| Max Clark | Detroit Tigers | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.20 | +25.6% | 0 | LOSS |
| Hao-Yu Lee | Detroit Tigers | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.68 | +25.0% | 1 | LOSS |
| Dillon Dingler | Detroit Tigers | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.62 | +21.4% | 0 | LOSS |
| Framber Valdez | Detroit Tigers | Strikeouts | under | 5.5 | 1.65 | +14.5% | 6 | LOSS |
| Harry Ford | Washington Nationals | Hits | under | 0.5 | 1.96 | +13.6% | 0 | WIN |
| Spencer Torkelson | Detroit Tigers | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.95 | +12.6% | 0 | LOSS |
| Dylan Crews | Washington Nationals | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.26 | +11.7% | 0 | LOSS |
| Gleyber Torres | Detroit Tigers | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.83 | +9.2% | 1 | LOSS |
| Harry Ford | Washington Nationals | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.91 | +9.1% | 0 | LOSS |
| Kevin McGonigle | Detroit Tigers | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.93 | +9.0% | 0 | LOSS |
| Spencer Torkelson | Detroit Tigers | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.31 | +8.0% | 0 | WIN |
| Riley Greene | Detroit Tigers | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.52 | +6.8% | 0 | LOSS |
| Dillon Dingler | Detroit Tigers | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.68 | +6.8% | 0 | WIN |
| Brady House | Washington Nationals | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.38 | +6.1% | 2 | LOSS |
| John Peck | Detroit Tigers | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.24 | +5.3% | 0 | LOSS |
| Dylan Crews | Washington Nationals | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.40 | +4.5% | 0 | WIN |
| Gleyber Torres | Detroit Tigers | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.10 | +3.8% | 0 | LOSS |
| Nasim Nunez | Washington Nationals | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 4.32 | +1.4% | 0 | LOSS |
| Nasim Nunez | Washington Nationals | Hits | under | 0.5 | 1.88 | +0.9% | 1 | LOSS |
| Kevin McGonigle | Detroit Tigers | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.86 | +0.1% | 3 | LOSS |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Detroit Tigers or Washington Nationalsthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | New York Mets at Washington Nationals | 11 | 36.4% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | New York Mets at Washington Nationals | 17 | 52.9% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | Pittsburgh Pirates at Detroit Tigers | 12 | 33.3% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | New York Mets at Washington Nationals | 25 | 48.0% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Pittsburgh Pirates at Detroit Tigers | 16 | 37.5% | View → |
| Tue, Sep 22, 2026 | Washington Nationals at Detroit Tigers | 1 | 0.0% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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