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NFL · Tue, Sep 29, 2026
Philadelphia Eagles at Chicago Bears
Final score: Philadelphia Eagles 7 · 27 Chicago Bears. 50 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | home | 4.5 | 2.02 | +5.5% | WIN |
| Spread | home | 3.5 | 1.93 | +2.3% | WIN |
| Game Total | over | 41.5 | 1.95 | +2.3% | LOSS |
| Game Total | over | 42.5 | 1.95 | +1.0% | LOSS |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DeVonta Smith | Philadelphia Eagles | Receptions | under | 5.5 | 2.00 | +49.5% | 6 | LOSS |
| DeVonta Smith | Philadelphia Eagles | Receiving Yards | under | 72.5 | 1.90 | +48.0% | 65 | WIN |
| Dontayvion Wicks | Philadelphia Eagles | Receiving Yards | under | 44.5 | 1.90 | +47.8% | 32 | WIN |
| DeVonta Smith | Philadelphia Eagles | Receiving Yards | under | 73.5 | 1.88 | +47.5% | 65 | WIN |
| DeVonta Smith | Philadelphia Eagles | Receiving Yards | under | 71.5 | 1.91 | +46.1% | 65 | WIN |
| Cole Kmet | Chicago Bears | Receiving Yards | over | 9.5 | 1.93 | +46.0% | 0 | LOSS |
| DeVonta Smith | Philadelphia Eagles | Receiving Yards | under | 70.5 | 1.91 | +45.0% | 65 | WIN |
| D'Andre Swift | Chicago Bears | Rushing Yards | under | 67.5 | 1.91 | +42.7% | 84 | LOSS |
| Dontayvion Wicks | Philadelphia Eagles | Receiving Yards | under | 41.5 | 1.89 | +41.1% | 32 | WIN |
| Saquon Barkley | Philadelphia Eagles | Receiving Yards | under | 14.5 | 1.89 | +38.4% | 0 | WIN |
| Dontayvion Wicks | Philadelphia Eagles | Receiving Yards | under | 39.5 | 1.91 | +37.9% | 32 | WIN |
| Dontayvion Wicks | Philadelphia Eagles | Receiving Yards | under | 40.5 | 1.88 | +37.9% | 32 | WIN |
| Saquon Barkley | Philadelphia Eagles | Receiving Yards | under | 13.5 | 1.93 | +37.7% | 0 | WIN |
| Dontayvion Wicks | Philadelphia Eagles | Receptions | under | 2.5 | 2.40 | +35.5% | 2 | WIN |
| Luther Burden III | Chicago Bears | Receiving Yards | over | 31.5 | 1.92 | +34.6% | 61 | WIN |
| Saquon Barkley | Philadelphia Eagles | Receiving Yards | under | 12.5 | 1.94 | +34.6% | 0 | WIN |
| Saquon Barkley | Philadelphia Eagles | Receptions | under | 2.5 | 1.67 | +34.6% | 1 | WIN |
| Rome Odunze | Chicago Bears | Receiving Yards | over | 25.5 | 1.90 | +32.9% | 44 | WIN |
| Kalif Raymond | Chicago Bears | Receiving Yards | over | 24.5 | 1.91 | +32.4% | 90 | WIN |
| Kalif Raymond | Chicago Bears | Receiving Yards | over | 25.5 | 1.92 | +30.7% | 90 | WIN |
| Rome Odunze | Chicago Bears | Receiving Yards | over | 27.5 | 1.92 | +30.0% | 44 | WIN |
| Dontayvion Wicks | Philadelphia Eagles | Receptions | under | 3.5 | 1.64 | +27.7% | 2 | WIN |
| Jalen Hurts | Philadelphia Eagles | Rushing Yards | over | 23.5 | 1.89 | +26.5% | 25 | WIN |
| Jalen Hurts | Philadelphia Eagles | Rushing Yards | over | 24.5 | 1.91 | +25.7% | 25 | WIN |
| Tank Bigsby | Philadelphia Eagles | Rushing Yards | over | 11.5 | 1.93 | +25.5% | 0 | LOSS |
| Luther Burden III | Chicago Bears | Receptions | over | 3.5 | 2.07 | +25.2% | 7 | WIN |
| Kalif Raymond | Chicago Bears | Receptions | under | 3.5 | 1.57 | +24.9% | 6 | LOSS |
| Cole Kmet | Chicago Bears | Receptions | over | 1.5 | 1.99 | +23.5% | 0 | LOSS |
| Jalen Hurts | Philadelphia Eagles | Passing Yards | under | 218.5 | 1.88 | +22.6% | 153 | WIN |
| Jalen Hurts | Philadelphia Eagles | Rushing Yards | over | 25.5 | 1.92 | +22.2% | 25 | LOSS |
| Luther Burden III | Chicago Bears | Receiving Yards | over | 37.5 | 1.91 | +21.0% | 61 | WIN |
| Kyle Monangai | Chicago Bears | Rushing Yards | over | 36.5 | 1.91 | +20.6% | 31 | LOSS |
| Jalen Hurts | Philadelphia Eagles | Passing Yards | under | 217.5 | 1.88 | +19.7% | 153 | WIN |
| Colston Loveland | Chicago Bears | Receptions | over | 3.5 | 2.27 | +19.5% | 4 | WIN |
| Jalen Hurts | Philadelphia Eagles | Passing Yards | under | 215.5 | 1.88 | +19.2% | 153 | WIN |
| Rome Odunze | Chicago Bears | Receptions | over | 2.5 | 2.10 | +16.3% | 3 | WIN |
| Jalen Hurts | Philadelphia Eagles | Passing Yards | under | 213.5 | 1.88 | +15.2% | 153 | WIN |
| Kyle Monangai | Chicago Bears | Rushing Yards | over | 38.5 | 1.89 | +15.0% | 31 | LOSS |
| D'Andre Swift | Chicago Bears | Receptions | under | 1.5 | 2.26 | +11.5% | 2 | LOSS |
| Kyle Monangai | Chicago Bears | Rushing Yards | over | 40.5 | 1.89 | +10.5% | 31 | LOSS |
| Kalif Raymond | Chicago Bears | Receptions | under | 2.5 | 2.27 | +6.6% | 6 | LOSS |
| Colston Loveland | Chicago Bears | Receiving Yards | under | 33.5 | 1.89 | +6.1% | 31 | WIN |
| Jalen Hurts | Philadelphia Eagles | Passing TDs | over | 1.5 | 2.35 | +5.8% | 0 | LOSS |
| D'Andre Swift | Chicago Bears | Receiving Yards | over | 10.5 | 1.93 | +5.7% | 4 | LOSS |
| Kyle Monangai | Chicago Bears | Rushing Yards | under | 39.5 | 1.90 | +4.4% | 31 | WIN |
| Colston Loveland | Chicago Bears | Receiving Yards | over | 32.5 | 1.90 | +1.4% | 31 | LOSS |
Recent NFL games for these teams
Other games involving Chicago Bears or Philadelphia Eaglesthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 13, 2026 | Washington Commanders at Philadelphia Eagles | 21 | 47.6% | View → |
| Sun, Sep 13, 2026 | Chicago Bears at Carolina Panthers | 32 | 56.2% | View → |
Tomorrow’s NFL edges drop at 01:00 ET
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