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NFL · Mon, Nov 2, 2026
Philadelphia Eagles at Washington Commanders
Final score: Philadelphia Eagles 10 · 27 Washington Commanders. 28 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | away | 0 | 3.10 | +26.5% | LOSS |
| Spread | away | -6 | 1.91 | +14.4% | LOSS |
| Game Total | over | 40.5 | 1.91 | +3.5% | LOSS |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darius Cooper | Philadelphia Eagles | Receptions | under | 2.5 | 1.83 | +57.5% | 2 | WIN |
| Rachaad White | Washington Commanders | Rushing Yards | under | 41.5 | 1.88 | +50.7% | 55 | LOSS |
| Tanner McKee | Philadelphia Eagles | Rushing Yards | over | 2.5 | 1.90 | +46.9% | 25 | WIN |
| Dyami Brown | Washington Commanders | Receiving Yards | under | 12.5 | 1.89 | +46.3% | 0 | WIN |
| Darius Cooper | Philadelphia Eagles | Receiving Yards | under | 26.5 | 1.89 | +42.9% | 19 | WIN |
| Makai Lemon | Philadelphia Eagles | Receptions | under | 4.5 | 1.95 | +41.9% | 6 | LOSS |
| Dyami Brown | Washington Commanders | Receptions | under | 1.5 | 1.68 | +41.0% | 0 | WIN |
| Tanner McKee | Philadelphia Eagles | Passing Yards | under | 201.5 | 1.90 | +38.8% | 212 | LOSS |
| Saquon Barkley | Philadelphia Eagles | Receiving Yards | under | 12.5 | 1.87 | +38.1% | 24 | LOSS |
| Makai Lemon | Philadelphia Eagles | Receiving Yards | under | 43.5 | 1.88 | +36.8% | 57 | LOSS |
| Saquon Barkley | Philadelphia Eagles | Rushing Yards | over | 48.5 | 1.89 | +32.5% | 30 | LOSS |
| Tanner McKee | Philadelphia Eagles | Passing TDs | under | 0.5 | 2.69 | +31.9% | 0 | WIN |
| Dallas Goedert | Philadelphia Eagles | Receptions | under | 5.5 | 1.63 | +28.0% | 4 | WIN |
| Rachaad White | Washington Commanders | Receiving Yards | under | 12.5 | 1.92 | +26.9% | 5 | WIN |
| Saquon Barkley | Philadelphia Eagles | Receptions | under | 2.5 | 1.55 | +26.9% | 1 | WIN |
| Treylon Burks | Washington Commanders | Receiving Yards | under | 21.5 | 1.89 | +24.0% | 81 | LOSS |
| Stefon Diggs | Washington Commanders | Receptions | over | 4.5 | 2.18 | +19.0% | 3 | LOSS |
| Antonio Williams | Washington Commanders | Receiving Yards | under | 36.5 | 1.90 | +17.2% | 54 | LOSS |
| Dallas Goedert | Philadelphia Eagles | Receiving Yards | under | 45.5 | 1.88 | +15.8% | 30 | WIN |
| Jayden Daniels | Washington Commanders | Passing TDs | under | 1.5 | 1.66 | +11.1% | 1 | WIN |
| Treylon Burks | Washington Commanders | Receptions | under | 1.5 | 1.94 | +10.7% | 3 | LOSS |
| Rachaad White | Washington Commanders | Receptions | under | 2.5 | 1.69 | +7.3% | 2 | WIN |
| Antonio Williams | Washington Commanders | Receptions | under | 3.5 | 1.62 | +3.0% | 5 | LOSS |
| Chig Okonkwo | Washington Commanders | Receiving Yards | over | 34.5 | 1.91 | +2.0% | 32 | LOSS |
| Jayden Daniels | Washington Commanders | Rushing Yards | over | 36.5 | 1.88 | +0.9% | 23 | LOSS |
Recent NFL games for these teams
Other games involving Washington Commanders or Philadelphia Eagles that we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tue, Oct 27, 2026 | Dallas Cowboys at Philadelphia Eagles | 25 | 48.0% | View → |
| Tue, Oct 20, 2026 | Washington Commanders at San Francisco 49ers | 24 | 50.0% | View → |
| Sun, Oct 18, 2026 | Carolina Panthers at Philadelphia Eagles | 24 | 41.7% | View → |
| Sun, Oct 11, 2026 | New York Giants at Washington Commanders | 39 | 36.8% | View → |
| Sun, Oct 11, 2026 | Philadelphia Eagles at Jacksonville Jaguars | 42 | 45.2% | View → |
| Sun, Oct 4, 2026 | Indianapolis Colts at Washington Commanders | 42 | 64.3% | View → |
Tomorrow’s NFL edges drop at 01:00 ET
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