Private North American Sports ConsultingLimited AccessNBA · NHL · NFL · MLBVerified Track Record · 2026 YTDBy Application OnlySports betting carries real risk · Past results don’t guarantee future ones18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.orgPrivate North American Sports ConsultingLimited AccessNBA · NHL · NFL · MLBVerified Track Record · 2026 YTDBy Application OnlySports betting carries real risk · Past results don’t guarantee future ones18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org
NFL · Sun, Oct 4, 2026
Green Bay Packers at Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Final score: Green Bay Packers 17 · 14 Tampa Bay Buccaneers. 35 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Game Total | over | 39.5 | 1.95 | +5.4% | LOSS |
| Game Total | over | 38.5 | 1.87 | +5.4% | LOSS |
| Spread | home | 3 | 1.98 | +3.4% | PUSH |
| Moneyline | home | 0 | 2.36 | +3.3% | LOSS |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kaleb Johnson | Green Bay Packers | Rushing Yards | under | 31.5 | 1.88 | +86.1% | 42 | LOSS |
| Skyy Moore | Green Bay Packers | Receptions | under | 1.5 | 2.07 | +79.3% | 1 | WIN |
| Matthew Golden | Green Bay Packers | Receiving Yards | under | 56.5 | 1.91 | +76.8% | 21 | WIN |
| Matthew Golden | Green Bay Packers | Receptions | under | 4.5 | 1.93 | +75.4% | 3 | WIN |
| Matthew Golden | Green Bay Packers | Receiving Yards | under | 57.5 | 1.88 | +74.9% | 21 | WIN |
| Skyy Moore | Green Bay Packers | Receiving Yards | under | 16.5 | 1.90 | +72.5% | 0 | WIN |
| Skyy Moore | Green Bay Packers | Receiving Yards | under | 17.5 | 1.86 | +71.2% | 0 | WIN |
| Kenny Gainwell | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | Receptions | over | 1.5 | 1.58 | +48.7% | 2 | WIN |
| Kenny Gainwell | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | Receiving Yards | over | 9.5 | 1.88 | +40.3% | 22 | WIN |
| Christian Watson | Green Bay Packers | Receptions | under | 4.5 | 2.25 | +33.5% | 3 | WIN |
| Christian Watson | Green Bay Packers | Receiving Yards | under | 66.5 | 1.91 | +30.8% | 47 | WIN |
| Cade Otton | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | Receptions | over | 2.5 | 1.62 | +23.4% | 4 | WIN |
| Jonnu Smith | Green Bay Packers | Receptions | over | 1.5 | 2.74 | +17.0% | 1 | LOSS |
| Tucker Kraft | Green Bay Packers | Receptions | under | 4.5 | 1.70 | +15.9% | 6 | LOSS |
| Bucky Irving | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | Rushing Yards | over | 55.5 | 1.92 | +13.3% | 61 | WIN |
| Tez Johnson | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | Receiving Yards | under | 9.5 | 1.90 | +12.1% | 17 | LOSS |
| Kenny Gainwell | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | Rushing Yards | over | 14.5 | 1.90 | +10.7% | 5 | LOSS |
| Kenny Gainwell | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | Rushing Yards | over | 13.5 | 1.83 | +9.3% | 5 | LOSS |
| Tez Johnson | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | Receptions | under | 0.5 | 2.86 | +5.2% | 2 | LOSS |
| Tucker Kraft | Green Bay Packers | Receptions | under | 3.5 | 2.13 | +4.0% | 6 | LOSS |
| Emeka Egbuka | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | Receiving Yards | over | 37.5 | 1.91 | +3.9% | 13 | LOSS |
| Tez Johnson | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | Receptions | under | 1.5 | 1.41 | +3.7% | 2 | LOSS |
| Jordan Love | Green Bay Packers | Passing TDs | under | 1.5 | 1.81 | +3.7% | 2 | LOSS |
| Jordan Love | Green Bay Packers | Passing Yards | under | 244.5 | 1.88 | +3.4% | 197 | WIN |
| Bucky Irving | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | Receptions | over | 2.5 | 1.79 | +3.2% | 0 | LOSS |
| Emeka Egbuka | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | Receptions | under | 3.5 | 1.76 | +3.2% | 2 | WIN |
| Cade Otton | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | Receiving Yards | over | 24.5 | 1.86 | +2.9% | 37 | WIN |
| Jordan Love | Green Bay Packers | Rushing Yards | under | 5.5 | 1.85 | +1.7% | 0 | WIN |
| Tucker Kraft | Green Bay Packers | Receiving Yards | over | 39.5 | 1.88 | +0.9% | 42 | WIN |
| Cade Otton | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | Receiving Yards | over | 25.5 | 1.87 | +0.6% | 37 | WIN |
| Emeka Egbuka | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | Receiving Yards | over | 38.5 | 1.91 | +0.5% | 13 | LOSS |
Recent NFL games for these teams
Other games involving Tampa Bay Buccaneers or Green Bay Packersthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Minnesota Vikings at Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 31 | 48.4% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Atlanta Falcons at Green Bay Packers | 45 | 64.4% | View → |
| Sun, Sep 20, 2026 | Green Bay Packers at New York Jets | 25 | 56.0% | View → |
| Sun, Sep 13, 2026 | Green Bay Packers at Minnesota Vikings | 24 | 41.7% | View → |
| Sun, Sep 13, 2026 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Cincinnati Bengals | 28 | 75.0% | View → |
Tomorrow’s NFL edges drop at 01:00 ET
Members receive the daily Parlay of the Day plus every positive-EV pick the model generates across NBA, MLB and NHL match lines and player props. Membership is by application.