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MLB · Fri, Oct 2, 2026
Philadelphia Phillies at Atlanta Braves
Final score: Philadelphia Phillies 2 · 6 Atlanta Braves. 10 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home | 0 | 1.98 | +2.2% | WIN |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.T. Realmuto | Philadelphia Phillies | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.21 | +10.3% | 0 | WIN |
| Alec Bohm | Philadelphia Phillies | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.69 | +9.2% | 1 | LOSS |
| Ronald Acuna Jr. | Atlanta Braves | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.76 | +6.0% | 1 | LOSS |
| Mike Yastrzemski | Atlanta Braves | Hits | under | 0.5 | 1.88 | +4.0% | 0 | WIN |
| Bryson Stott | Philadelphia Phillies | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.48 | +3.1% | 0 | WIN |
| Trea Turner | Philadelphia Phillies | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.38 | +2.5% | 0 | WIN |
| Kyle Schwarber | Philadelphia Phillies | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.41 | +2.0% | 2 | LOSS |
| Bryan De La Cruz | Philadelphia Phillies | Hits | under | 0.5 | 1.93 | +1.5% | 1 | LOSS |
| Bryce Harper | Philadelphia Phillies | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.58 | +0.1% | 1 | LOSS |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Atlanta Braves or Philadelphia Philliesthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tue, Sep 29, 2026 | Philadelphia Phillies at Atlanta Braves | 30 | 36.7% | View → |
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at Philadelphia Phillies | 17 | 29.4% | View → |
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Atlanta Braves at Miami Marlins | 14 | 57.1% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | Atlanta Braves at Miami Marlins | 11 | 63.6% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at Philadelphia Phillies | 11 | 45.5% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Atlanta Braves at Miami Marlins | 4 | 75.0% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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