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Private North American Sports ConsultingLimited AccessNBA · NHL · NFL · MLBVerified Track Record · 2026 YTDBy Application OnlySports betting carries real risk · Past results don’t guarantee future ones18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.orgPrivate North American Sports ConsultingLimited AccessNBA · NHL · NFL · MLBVerified Track Record · 2026 YTDBy Application OnlySports betting carries real risk · Past results don’t guarantee future ones18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org
MLB · Wed, Sep 30, 2026

Chicago Cubs at San Diego Padres

Final score: Chicago Cubs 0 · 8 San Diego Padres. 27 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.

Final score0 · 8
Tracked picks27
Hit rate25.9%
Decided / Wins27 / 7

Match line picks

The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.

MarketPickLineOddsEVResult
Moneylineaway02.06+0.7%LOSS

Player prop picks

Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.

PlayerTeamStatPickLineOddsEVActualResult
Dansby SwansonChicago CubsRBIsover0.53.96+67.0%0LOSS
Alex BregmanChicago CubsRBIsover0.53.43+54.3%0LOSS
Carson KellyChicago CubsRBIsover0.53.93+51.6%0LOSS
Seiya SuzukiChicago CubsRBIsover0.53.35+50.9%0LOSS
Nico HoernerChicago CubsRBIsover0.53.89+42.8%0LOSS
Samad TaylorSan Diego PadresRBIsover0.54.24+41.8%0LOSS
Pete Crow-ArmstrongChicago CubsRBIsover0.52.88+38.4%0LOSS
Austin HaysSan Diego PadresRBIsover0.54.02+38.3%0LOSS
Jake CronenworthSan Diego PadresRBIsover0.54.30+38.3%0LOSS
Ty FranceSan Diego PadresRBIsover0.53.30+38.0%0LOSS
Michael BuschChicago CubsRBIsover0.53.47+33.3%0LOSS
Ian HappChicago CubsRBIsover0.53.62+29.2%0LOSS
Michael ConfortoChicago CubsRBIsover0.53.78+26.7%0LOSS
Jackson MerrillSan Diego PadresRBIsover0.52.92+23.6%2WIN
Luis CampusanoSan Diego PadresRBIsover0.53.45+21.8%0LOSS
Manny MachadoSan Diego PadresRBIsover0.52.76+20.6%2WIN
Matthew BoydChicago CubsStrikeoutsover3.51.65+13.0%4WIN
Samad TaylorSan Diego PadresHitsover0.51.78+11.3%0LOSS
Fernando Tatis Jr.San Diego PadresRBIsover0.52.72+10.8%1WIN
Xander BogaertsSan Diego PadresHitsunder0.52.42+10.6%2LOSS
Xander BogaertsSan Diego PadresRBIsover0.53.42+8.4%1WIN
Manny MachadoSan Diego PadresHitsunder0.52.43+8.4%2LOSS
Seiya SuzukiChicago CubsHitsover0.51.60+1.9%1WIN
Michael ConfortoChicago CubsHitsunder0.51.83+1.8%0WIN
Alex BregmanChicago CubsHitsover0.51.58+1.3%0LOSS
Pete Crow-ArmstrongChicago CubsHitsover0.51.53+0.2%0LOSS

Recent MLB games for these teams

Other games involving San Diego Padres or Chicago Cubsthat we’ve published picks for.

DateMatchupPicksHit rate
Fri, Sep 25, 2026Chicago Cubs at Boston Red Sox1729.4%View →
Thu, Sep 24, 2026San Diego Padres at Los Angeles Dodgers714.3%View →
Thu, Sep 24, 2026Miami Marlins at Chicago Cubs2040.0%View →
Wed, Sep 23, 2026San Diego Padres at Los Angeles Dodgers2100.0%View →
Sun, Sep 20, 2026Miami Marlins at San Diego Padres633.3%View →
Sun, Sep 20, 2026Chicago Cubs at Cincinnati Reds1258.3%View →

Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET

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