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MLB · Tue, Oct 13, 2026
Cleveland Guardians at Tampa Bay Rays
Final score: Cleveland Guardians 7 · 3 Tampa Bay Rays. 24 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Game Total | under | 6.5 | 2.00 | +1.3% | LOSS |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Angel Martinez | Cleveland Guardians | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 4.20 | +76.3% | 0 | LOSS |
| Brayan Rocchio | Cleveland Guardians | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 4.60 | +75.6% | 0 | LOSS |
| Liam Hicks | Tampa Bay Rays | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.71 | +62.4% | 0 | LOSS |
| Travis Bazzana | Cleveland Guardians | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 4.35 | +61.8% | 0 | LOSS |
| Jo Adell | Cleveland Guardians | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.33 | +48.3% | 2 | WIN |
| Jonathan Aranda | Tampa Bay Rays | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.31 | +47.8% | 0 | LOSS |
| Nathaniel Lowe | Cleveland Guardians | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.69 | +47.5% | 2 | WIN |
| Foster Griffin | Cleveland Guardians | Strikeouts | over | 3.5 | 1.85 | +40.5% | 3 | LOSS |
| Chase DeLauter | Cleveland Guardians | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.48 | +38.3% | 1 | WIN |
| Patrick Bailey | Cleveland Guardians | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 4.51 | +31.6% | 1 | WIN |
| Junior Caminero | Tampa Bay Rays | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.82 | +30.3% | 1 | WIN |
| Jose Ramirez | Cleveland Guardians | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.71 | +30.0% | 1 | WIN |
| Ryan Vilade | Tampa Bay Rays | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.54 | +29.6% | 0 | LOSS |
| Yandy Diaz | Tampa Bay Rays | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.78 | +17.9% | 0 | LOSS |
| Victor Mesa Jr. | Tampa Bay Rays | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.53 | +17.1% | 1 | LOSS |
| Ryan Vilade | Tampa Bay Rays | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.14 | +13.4% | 0 | WIN |
| Travis Bazzana | Cleveland Guardians | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.83 | +7.0% | 1 | WIN |
| Brayan Rocchio | Cleveland Guardians | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.81 | +5.6% | 0 | LOSS |
| Taylor Walls | Tampa Bay Rays | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.05 | +5.3% | 0 | WIN |
| Drew Rasmussen | Tampa Bay Rays | Strikeouts | under | 5.5 | 2.13 | +4.1% | 7 | LOSS |
| Victor Mesa Jr. | Tampa Bay Rays | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.91 | +3.8% | 0 | LOSS |
| Steven Kwan | Cleveland Guardians | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.78 | +2.9% | 1 | LOSS |
| Taylor Walls | Tampa Bay Rays | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.89 | +2.6% | 0 | LOSS |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Tampa Bay Rays or Cleveland Guardians that we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Oct 11, 2026 | Chicago White Sox at Cleveland Guardians | 31 | 19.4% | View → |
| Fri, Oct 9, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Chicago White Sox | 25 | 36.0% | View → |
| Thu, Oct 8, 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at New York Yankees | 27 | 48.1% | View → |
| Wed, Oct 7, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Chicago White Sox | 27 | 37.0% | View → |
| Tue, Oct 6, 2026 | New York Yankees at Tampa Bay Rays | 25 | 44.0% | View → |
| Mon, Oct 5, 2026 | Chicago White Sox at Cleveland Guardians | 29 | 44.8% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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