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MLB · Thu, Oct 8, 2026
Tampa Bay Rays at New York Yankees
Final score: Tampa Bay Rays 4 · 3 New York Yankees. 27 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | away | 0 | 2.45 | +4.3% | WIN |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liam Hicks | Tampa Bay Rays | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 4.05 | +77.3% | 0 | LOSS |
| Jonathan Aranda | Tampa Bay Rays | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.75 | +67.4% | 1 | WIN |
| Yandy Diaz | Tampa Bay Rays | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.89 | +65.0% | 0 | LOSS |
| Ryan Vilade | Tampa Bay Rays | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 4.15 | +51.9% | 1 | WIN |
| Junior Caminero | Tampa Bay Rays | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.11 | +43.7% | 0 | LOSS |
| Taylor Walls | Tampa Bay Rays | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 5.35 | +41.1% | 0 | LOSS |
| Anthony Volpe | New York Yankees | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 4.11 | +39.7% | 1 | WIN |
| George Lombard Jr. | New York Yankees | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.40 | +39.5% | 0 | LOSS |
| Trent Grisham | New York Yankees | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.54 | +37.4% | 0 | LOSS |
| Cody Bellinger | New York Yankees | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.22 | +36.8% | 0 | LOSS |
| Victor Mesa Jr. | Tampa Bay Rays | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.74 | +33.5% | 2 | WIN |
| Luis Garcia Jr. | New York Yankees | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.85 | +32.0% | 0 | LOSS |
| Nick Martinez | Tampa Bay Rays | Strikeouts | over | 3.5 | 2.38 | +31.2% | 3 | LOSS |
| Ben Rice | New York Yankees | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.74 | +27.5% | 1 | WIN |
| Max Fried | New York Yankees | Strikeouts | over | 4.5 | 2.02 | +22.8% | 7 | WIN |
| Austin Wells | New York Yankees | Hits | under | 0.5 | 1.96 | +16.2% | 0 | WIN |
| Spencer Jones | New York Yankees | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.35 | +11.6% | 1 | LOSS |
| Jazz Chisholm Jr. | New York Yankees | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.29 | +10.6% | 0 | LOSS |
| Spencer Jones | New York Yankees | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.93 | +10.3% | 1 | WIN |
| Luis Garcia Jr. | New York Yankees | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.82 | +7.8% | 1 | LOSS |
| Jazz Chisholm Jr. | New York Yankees | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.34 | +5.9% | 0 | WIN |
| Cody Bellinger | New York Yankees | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.80 | +5.2% | 0 | WIN |
| Taylor Walls | Tampa Bay Rays | Hits | over | 0.5 | 2.14 | +4.1% | 1 | WIN |
| Liam Hicks | Tampa Bay Rays | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.70 | +4.0% | 0 | LOSS |
| Ben Rice | New York Yankees | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.72 | +3.2% | 1 | LOSS |
| Yandy Diaz | Tampa Bay Rays | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.49 | +1.7% | 1 | WIN |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving New York Yankees or Tampa Bay Raysthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tue, Oct 6, 2026 | New York Yankees at Tampa Bay Rays | 25 | 44.0% | View → |
| Sat, Oct 3, 2026 | New York Yankees at Tampa Bay Rays | 23 | 13.0% | View → |
| Wed, Sep 30, 2026 | Boston Red Sox at New York Yankees | 32 | 28.1% | View → |
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at Philadelphia Phillies | 17 | 29.4% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at Philadelphia Phillies | 11 | 45.5% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Baltimore Orioles at New York Yankees | 23 | 52.2% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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