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MLB · Tue, Oct 6, 2026
New York Yankees at Tampa Bay Rays
Final score: New York Yankees 2 · 5 Tampa Bay Rays. 25 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home | 0 | 2.09 | +1.6% | WIN |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liam Hicks | Tampa Bay Rays | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 4.35 | +90.5% | 1 | WIN |
| Richie Palacios | Tampa Bay Rays | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 4.91 | +82.6% | 2 | WIN |
| Jonathan Aranda | Tampa Bay Rays | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.91 | +74.6% | 0 | LOSS |
| Yandy Diaz | Tampa Bay Rays | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.99 | +69.2% | 0 | LOSS |
| George Lombard Jr. | New York Yankees | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.97 | +62.9% | 0 | LOSS |
| Luis Garcia Jr. | New York Yankees | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.13 | +44.9% | 0 | LOSS |
| Ben Rice | New York Yankees | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.10 | +44.2% | 2 | WIN |
| Cody Bellinger | New York Yankees | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.34 | +41.8% | 0 | LOSS |
| Junior Caminero | Tampa Bay Rays | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.91 | +34.5% | 0 | LOSS |
| Ryan McMahon | New York Yankees | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 4.60 | +33.9% | 0 | LOSS |
| Trent Grisham | New York Yankees | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.42 | +32.8% | 0 | LOSS |
| Taylor Walls | Tampa Bay Rays | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 4.83 | +27.3% | 0 | LOSS |
| Victor Mesa Jr. | Tampa Bay Rays | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.53 | +26.0% | 0 | LOSS |
| Jazz Chisholm Jr. | New York Yankees | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.67 | +23.4% | 0 | LOSS |
| Spencer Jones | New York Yankees | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.99 | +12.6% | 0 | LOSS |
| Jonathan Aranda | Tampa Bay Rays | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.71 | +8.9% | 2 | WIN |
| Austin Wells | New York Yankees | Hits | under | 0.5 | 1.81 | +7.3% | 1 | LOSS |
| Liam Hicks | Tampa Bay Rays | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.75 | +7.1% | 0 | LOSS |
| Chandler Simpson | Tampa Bay Rays | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.55 | +5.3% | 1 | WIN |
| Chandler Simpson | Tampa Bay Rays | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 4.44 | +3.9% | 1 | WIN |
| Richie Palacios | Tampa Bay Rays | Hits | over | 0.5 | 2.12 | +2.3% | 1 | WIN |
| Freddy Peralta | Tampa Bay Rays | Strikeouts | under | 5.5 | 1.65 | +1.6% | 3 | WIN |
| Yandy Diaz | Tampa Bay Rays | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.48 | +1.1% | 1 | WIN |
| Spencer Jones | New York Yankees | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.12 | +0.7% | 0 | WIN |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Tampa Bay Rays or New York Yankeesthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, Oct 3, 2026 | New York Yankees at Tampa Bay Rays | 23 | 13.0% | View → |
| Wed, Sep 30, 2026 | Boston Red Sox at New York Yankees | 32 | 28.1% | View → |
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at Philadelphia Phillies | 17 | 29.4% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at Philadelphia Phillies | 11 | 45.5% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Baltimore Orioles at New York Yankees | 23 | 52.2% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at New York Yankees | 11 | 36.4% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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