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MLB · Wed, Oct 14, 2026
Cleveland Guardians at Tampa Bay Rays
Final score: Cleveland Guardians 1 · 3 Tampa Bay Rays. 22 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brayan Rocchio | Cleveland Guardians | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 4.47 | +70.6% | 0 | LOSS |
| Jonathan Aranda | Tampa Bay Rays | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.77 | +68.3% | 0 | LOSS |
| Travis Bazzana | Cleveland Guardians | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.94 | +46.6% | 0 | LOSS |
| Nathaniel Lowe | Cleveland Guardians | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.45 | +37.9% | 0 | LOSS |
| Yandy Diaz | Tampa Bay Rays | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.18 | +34.9% | 0 | LOSS |
| Jo Adell | Cleveland Guardians | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.02 | +34.5% | 0 | LOSS |
| Freddy Peralta | Tampa Bay Rays | Strikeouts | over | 3.5 | 1.77 | +30.1% | 6 | WIN |
| Chase DeLauter | Cleveland Guardians | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.26 | +29.5% | 1 | WIN |
| Junior Caminero | Tampa Bay Rays | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.76 | +27.5% | 0 | LOSS |
| Patrick Bailey | Cleveland Guardians | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 4.16 | +21.4% | 0 | LOSS |
| Victor Mesa Jr. | Tampa Bay Rays | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.33 | +18.8% | 0 | LOSS |
| Taylor Walls | Tampa Bay Rays | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 4.49 | +18.4% | 0 | LOSS |
| Parker Messick | Cleveland Guardians | Strikeouts | over | 4.5 | 1.67 | +17.7% | 3 | LOSS |
| Jose Ramirez | Cleveland Guardians | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.24 | +13.6% | 0 | LOSS |
| Petey Halpin | Cleveland Guardians | Hits | under | 0.5 | 1.87 | +12.8% | 1 | LOSS |
| Victor Mesa Jr. | Tampa Bay Rays | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.33 | +7.9% | 0 | WIN |
| Ben Williamson | Tampa Bay Rays | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.19 | +7.8% | 0 | WIN |
| Patrick Bailey | Cleveland Guardians | Hits | under | 0.5 | 1.90 | +6.0% | 0 | WIN |
| Brayan Rocchio | Cleveland Guardians | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.79 | +4.4% | 0 | LOSS |
| Ben Williamson | Tampa Bay Rays | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.80 | +3.1% | 0 | LOSS |
| Travis Bazzana | Cleveland Guardians | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.75 | +2.3% | 1 | WIN |
| Jose Ramirez | Cleveland Guardians | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.44 | +1.2% | 1 | LOSS |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Tampa Bay Rays or Cleveland Guardians that we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tue, Oct 13, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Tampa Bay Rays | 24 | 37.5% | View → |
| Sun, Oct 11, 2026 | Chicago White Sox at Cleveland Guardians | 31 | 19.4% | View → |
| Fri, Oct 9, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Chicago White Sox | 25 | 36.0% | View → |
| Thu, Oct 8, 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at New York Yankees | 27 | 48.1% | View → |
| Wed, Oct 7, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Chicago White Sox | 27 | 37.0% | View → |
| Tue, Oct 6, 2026 | New York Yankees at Tampa Bay Rays | 25 | 44.0% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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