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MLB · Thu, Oct 15, 2026
Tampa Bay Rays at Cleveland Guardians
Final score: Tampa Bay Rays 2 · 3 Cleveland Guardians. 25 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | away | 0 | 2.11 | +2.2% | LOSS |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Aranda | Tampa Bay Rays | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 4.08 | +82.2% | 0 | LOSS |
| Liam Hicks | Tampa Bay Rays | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 4.07 | +78.2% | 0 | LOSS |
| Brayan Rocchio | Cleveland Guardians | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 4.41 | +68.3% | 0 | LOSS |
| Richie Palacios | Tampa Bay Rays | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 4.32 | +60.7% | 0 | LOSS |
| Yandy Diaz | Tampa Bay Rays | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.64 | +54.4% | 0 | LOSS |
| Nathaniel Lowe | Cleveland Guardians | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.52 | +40.7% | 1 | WIN |
| Travis Bazzana | Cleveland Guardians | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.77 | +40.2% | 0 | LOSS |
| Junior Caminero | Tampa Bay Rays | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.98 | +37.7% | 0 | LOSS |
| Taylor Walls | Tampa Bay Rays | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 4.95 | +30.5% | 0 | LOSS |
| Gavin Williams | Cleveland Guardians | Strikeouts | over | 6.5 | 2.17 | +28.9% | 9 | WIN |
| Jo Adell | Cleveland Guardians | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.85 | +26.9% | 0 | LOSS |
| Victor Mesa Jr. | Tampa Bay Rays | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.40 | +21.3% | 0 | LOSS |
| Chase DeLauter | Cleveland Guardians | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.05 | +21.2% | 0 | LOSS |
| Jose Ramirez | Cleveland Guardians | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.33 | +16.7% | 0 | LOSS |
| Petey Halpin | Cleveland Guardians | Hits | under | 0.5 | 1.91 | +15.2% | 1 | LOSS |
| Patrick Bailey | Cleveland Guardians | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.94 | +15.0% | 0 | LOSS |
| Patrick Bailey | Cleveland Guardians | Hits | under | 0.5 | 1.97 | +9.9% | 1 | LOSS |
| Brayan Rocchio | Cleveland Guardians | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.88 | +9.7% | 1 | WIN |
| Jonathan Aranda | Tampa Bay Rays | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.72 | +9.5% | 0 | LOSS |
| Jose Ramirez | Cleveland Guardians | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.54 | +5.4% | 2 | LOSS |
| Liam Hicks | Tampa Bay Rays | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.72 | +5.3% | 0 | LOSS |
| Junior Caminero | Tampa Bay Rays | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.56 | +0.6% | 0 | LOSS |
| Yandy Diaz | Tampa Bay Rays | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.47 | +0.4% | 1 | WIN |
| Jo Adell | Cleveland Guardians | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.47 | +0.0% | 0 | WIN |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Cleveland Guardians or Tampa Bay Rays that we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wed, Oct 14, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Tampa Bay Rays | 22 | 27.3% | View → |
| Tue, Oct 13, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Tampa Bay Rays | 24 | 37.5% | View → |
| Sun, Oct 11, 2026 | Chicago White Sox at Cleveland Guardians | 31 | 19.4% | View → |
| Fri, Oct 9, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Chicago White Sox | 25 | 36.0% | View → |
| Thu, Oct 8, 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at New York Yankees | 27 | 48.1% | View → |
| Wed, Oct 7, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Chicago White Sox | 27 | 37.0% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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