Private North American Sports ConsultingLimited AccessNBA · NHL · NFL · MLBVerified Track Record · 2026 YTDBy Application OnlySports betting carries real risk · Past results don’t guarantee future ones18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.orgPrivate North American Sports ConsultingLimited AccessNBA · NHL · NFL · MLBVerified Track Record · 2026 YTDBy Application OnlySports betting carries real risk · Past results don’t guarantee future ones18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org
NBA · Tue, Nov 3, 2026
Oklahoma City Thunder at Cleveland Cavaliers
Final score: Oklahoma City Thunder 117 · 112 Cleveland Cavaliers. 26 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | away | -4.5 | 1.85 | +10.9% | WIN |
| Game Total | over | 228.5 | 1.95 | +0.6% | WIN |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ajay Mitchell | Oklahoma City Thunder | Points | under | 18.5 | 1.84 | +82.2% | 20 | LOSS |
| Sam Merrill | Cleveland Cavaliers | Points | under | 9.5 | 1.81 | +57.6% | 8 | WIN |
| Ajay Mitchell | Oklahoma City Thunder | Assists | under | 4.5 | 1.62 | +56.3% | 1 | WIN |
| Ajay Mitchell | Oklahoma City Thunder | Rebounds | under | 3.5 | 1.77 | +48.6% | 5 | LOSS |
| Kenrich Williams | Oklahoma City Thunder | Points | under | 7.5 | 1.98 | +47.9% | 12 | LOSS |
| Kenrich Williams | Oklahoma City Thunder | Rebounds | under | 4.5 | 1.85 | +45.8% | 3 | WIN |
| James Harden | Cleveland Cavaliers | Points | over | 18.5 | 1.83 | +38.3% | 14 | LOSS |
| James Harden | Cleveland Cavaliers | Assists | over | 6.5 | 1.84 | +31.1% | 6 | LOSS |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander | Oklahoma City Thunder | Rebounds | over | 3.5 | 1.74 | +27.6% | 3 | LOSS |
| James Harden | Cleveland Cavaliers | Rebounds | over | 4.5 | 1.86 | +25.2% | 4 | LOSS |
| Evan Mobley | Cleveland Cavaliers | Assists | under | 3.5 | 2.06 | +23.4% | 4 | LOSS |
| Jarrett Allen | Cleveland Cavaliers | Assists | over | 1.5 | 1.99 | +21.7% | 1 | LOSS |
| Jared McCain | Oklahoma City Thunder | Points | under | 14.5 | 1.79 | +20.2% | 7 | WIN |
| Evan Mobley | Cleveland Cavaliers | Points | over | 16.5 | 1.94 | +19.1% | 16 | LOSS |
| Jared McCain | Oklahoma City Thunder | Assists | over | 1.5 | 1.58 | +14.5% | 2 | WIN |
| Jarrett Allen | Cleveland Cavaliers | Points | over | 12.5 | 2.00 | +14.4% | 14 | WIN |
| Jarrett Allen | Cleveland Cavaliers | Rebounds | over | 8.5 | 1.95 | +14.0% | 6 | LOSS |
| Isaiah Hartenstein | Oklahoma City Thunder | Assists | over | 3.5 | 2.19 | +13.5% | 4 | WIN |
| Isaiah Hartenstein | Oklahoma City Thunder | Points | over | 10.5 | 2.03 | +13.4% | 5 | LOSS |
| Kenrich Williams | Oklahoma City Thunder | Assists | under | 1.5 | 1.83 | +8.0% | 1 | WIN |
| Sam Merrill | Cleveland Cavaliers | Rebounds | under | 2.5 | 1.69 | +7.9% | 3 | LOSS |
| Jared McCain | Oklahoma City Thunder | Rebounds | under | 2.5 | 2.28 | +7.4% | 9 | LOSS |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander | Oklahoma City Thunder | Points | over | 29.5 | 1.85 | +6.5% | 43 | WIN |
| Donovan Mitchell | Cleveland Cavaliers | Rebounds | under | 4.5 | 1.98 | +2.3% | 5 | LOSS |
Recent NBA games for these teams
Other games involving Cleveland Cavaliers or Oklahoma City Thunder that we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Nov 1, 2026 | Cleveland Cavaliers at Milwaukee Bucks | 23 | 65.2% | View → |
| Sun, Nov 1, 2026 | Oklahoma City Thunder at Houston Rockets | 9 | 55.6% | View → |
| Fri, Oct 30, 2026 | Cleveland Cavaliers at Atlanta Hawks | 25 | 72.0% | View → |
| Wed, Oct 28, 2026 | Washington Wizards at Cleveland Cavaliers | 31 | 54.8% | View → |
| Tue, Oct 27, 2026 | Phoenix Suns at Oklahoma City Thunder | 9 | 55.6% | View → |
| Mon, Oct 26, 2026 | Minnesota Timberwolves at Cleveland Cavaliers | 29 | 44.8% | View → |
Tomorrow’s NBA edges drop at 01:00 ET
Members receive the daily Parlay of the Day plus every positive-EV pick the model generates across NBA, MLB and NHL match lines and player props. Membership is by application.