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NBA · Thu, Nov 5, 2026
Cleveland Cavaliers at Oklahoma City Thunder
Final score: Cleveland Cavaliers 116 · 124 Oklahoma City Thunder. 28 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | home | -2.5 | 1.95 | +9.0% | WIN |
| Game Total | over | 228.5 | 1.94 | +0.7% | WIN |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ajay Mitchell | Oklahoma City Thunder | Points | under | 19.5 | 1.85 | +83.2% | 23 | LOSS |
| Kenrich Williams | Oklahoma City Thunder | Rebounds | under | 4.5 | 2.10 | +65.5% | 4 | WIN |
| Ajay Mitchell | Oklahoma City Thunder | Rebounds | under | 3.5 | 1.91 | +60.3% | 7 | LOSS |
| Ajay Mitchell | Oklahoma City Thunder | Assists | under | 4.5 | 1.61 | +55.3% | 4 | WIN |
| James Harden | Cleveland Cavaliers | Points | over | 17.5 | 1.89 | +55.2% | 19 | WIN |
| Sam Merrill | Cleveland Cavaliers | Points | under | 9.5 | 1.77 | +54.2% | 10 | LOSS |
| Kenrich Williams | Oklahoma City Thunder | Points | under | 8.5 | 1.79 | +52.1% | 13 | LOSS |
| Jaylin Williams | Oklahoma City Thunder | Rebounds | under | 5.5 | 2.12 | +37.1% | 4 | WIN |
| James Harden | Cleveland Cavaliers | Assists | over | 6.5 | 1.87 | +33.2% | 6 | LOSS |
| James Harden | Cleveland Cavaliers | Rebounds | over | 4.5 | 1.82 | +22.5% | 9 | WIN |
| Jaylin Williams | Oklahoma City Thunder | Points | under | 6.5 | 1.99 | +21.4% | 13 | LOSS |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander | Oklahoma City Thunder | Rebounds | over | 3.5 | 1.65 | +21.0% | 4 | WIN |
| Jarrett Allen | Cleveland Cavaliers | Rebounds | over | 8.5 | 2.05 | +19.8% | 1 | LOSS |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander | Oklahoma City Thunder | Points | under | 32.5 | 1.83 | +16.5% | 42 | LOSS |
| Isaiah Hartenstein | Oklahoma City Thunder | Rebounds | under | 10.5 | 1.92 | +14.1% | 12 | LOSS |
| Jarrett Allen | Cleveland Cavaliers | Points | over | 12.5 | 1.97 | +12.7% | 0 | LOSS |
| Jared McCain | Oklahoma City Thunder | Rebounds | under | 3.5 | 1.61 | +11.6% | 1 | WIN |
| Donovan Mitchell | Cleveland Cavaliers | Assists | under | 5.5 | 1.70 | +9.6% | 6 | LOSS |
| Isaiah Hartenstein | Oklahoma City Thunder | Points | over | 10.5 | 1.92 | +7.3% | 3 | LOSS |
| Sam Merrill | Cleveland Cavaliers | Rebounds | under | 2.5 | 1.67 | +6.7% | 7 | LOSS |
| Donovan Mitchell | Cleveland Cavaliers | Rebounds | under | 4.5 | 2.03 | +4.9% | 3 | WIN |
| Donovan Mitchell | Cleveland Cavaliers | Points | under | 23.5 | 1.82 | +4.9% | 27 | LOSS |
| Isaiah Hartenstein | Oklahoma City Thunder | Assists | over | 3.5 | 2.00 | +3.7% | 4 | WIN |
| Jared McCain | Oklahoma City Thunder | Points | under | 13.5 | 1.82 | +3.5% | 9 | WIN |
| Evan Mobley | Cleveland Cavaliers | Assists | under | 3.5 | 1.72 | +3.1% | 3 | WIN |
| Evan Mobley | Cleveland Cavaliers | Points | over | 17.5 | 1.96 | +1.8% | 16 | LOSS |
Recent NBA games for these teams
Other games involving Oklahoma City Thunder or Cleveland Cavaliers that we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tue, Nov 3, 2026 | Oklahoma City Thunder at Cleveland Cavaliers | 26 | 42.3% | View → |
| Sun, Nov 1, 2026 | Cleveland Cavaliers at Milwaukee Bucks | 23 | 65.2% | View → |
| Sun, Nov 1, 2026 | Oklahoma City Thunder at Houston Rockets | 9 | 55.6% | View → |
| Fri, Oct 30, 2026 | Cleveland Cavaliers at Atlanta Hawks | 25 | 72.0% | View → |
| Wed, Oct 28, 2026 | Washington Wizards at Cleveland Cavaliers | 31 | 54.8% | View → |
| Tue, Oct 27, 2026 | Phoenix Suns at Oklahoma City Thunder | 9 | 55.6% | View → |
Tomorrow’s NBA edges drop at 01:00 ET
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