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NBA · Thu, Nov 5, 2026
Miami Heat at Los Angeles Clippers
Final score: Miami Heat 117 · 116 Los Angeles Clippers. 17 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | home | 5.5 | 1.90 | +12.7% | WIN |
| Game Total | over | 233.5 | 1.88 | +1.7% | LOSS |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pelle Larsson | Miami Heat | Points | under | 11.5 | 1.81 | +79.2% | 7 | WIN |
| Davion Mitchell | Miami Heat | Points | under | 11.5 | 1.95 | +77.0% | 11 | WIN |
| Pelle Larsson | Miami Heat | Assists | under | 3.5 | 1.82 | +74.4% | 4 | LOSS |
| Davion Mitchell | Miami Heat | Assists | under | 6.5 | 2.03 | +71.0% | 10 | LOSS |
| Andrew Wiggins | Miami Heat | Points | over | 11.5 | 1.83 | +69.1% | 3 | LOSS |
| Klay Thompson | Miami Heat | Points | over | 9.5 | 1.89 | +66.1% | 30 | WIN |
| Bobby Portis | Miami Heat | Points | over | 8.5 | 1.80 | +50.5% | 4 | LOSS |
| Pelle Larsson | Miami Heat | Rebounds | under | 3.5 | 1.68 | +49.0% | 3 | WIN |
| Bobby Portis | Miami Heat | Rebounds | over | 5.5 | 1.91 | +31.0% | 10 | WIN |
| Bam Adebayo | Miami Heat | Assists | over | 3.5 | 2.04 | +25.0% | 4 | WIN |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo | Miami Heat | Points | under | 30.5 | 1.86 | +23.0% | 27 | WIN |
| Andrew Wiggins | Miami Heat | Rebounds | over | 3.5 | 1.76 | +17.1% | 4 | WIN |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo | Miami Heat | Rebounds | under | 11.5 | 1.97 | +10.0% | 14 | LOSS |
| Bam Adebayo | Miami Heat | Points | under | 17.5 | 1.99 | +2.5% | 35 | LOSS |
| Davion Mitchell | Miami Heat | Rebounds | under | 2.5 | 1.71 | +0.3% | 2 | WIN |
Recent NBA games for these teams
Other games involving Los Angeles Clippers or Miami Heat that we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon, Nov 2, 2026 | Los Angeles Clippers at Golden State Warriors | 11 | 54.5% | View → |
| Sat, Oct 31, 2026 | Indiana Pacers at Miami Heat | 14 | 42.9% | View → |
| Sat, Oct 31, 2026 | Los Angeles Clippers at Minnesota Timberwolves | 17 | 58.8% | View → |
| Wed, Oct 28, 2026 | Miami Heat at Atlanta Hawks | 28 | 46.4% | View → |
| Sun, Oct 25, 2026 | Los Angeles Clippers at Oklahoma City Thunder | 18 | 50.0% | View → |
| Sat, Oct 24, 2026 | Detroit Pistons at Miami Heat | 30 | 66.7% | View → |
Tomorrow’s NBA edges drop at 01:00 ET
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