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NBA · Sat, Nov 7, 2026
Denver Nuggets at Indiana Pacers
Final score: Denver Nuggets 114 · 102 Indiana Pacers. 29 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Game Total | over | 229.5 | 1.94 | +10.3% | LOSS |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DeMar DeRozan | Denver Nuggets | Points | over | 12.5 | 2.00 | +95.6% | 11 | LOSS |
| Cameron Johnson | Denver Nuggets | Points | over | 11.5 | 1.97 | +85.9% | 18 | WIN |
| Ivica Zubac | Indiana Pacers | Points | over | 10.5 | 1.95 | +81.9% | 10 | LOSS |
| Andrew Nembhard | Indiana Pacers | Points | under | 16.5 | 1.85 | +78.9% | 9 | WIN |
| Ivica Zubac | Indiana Pacers | Rebounds | over | 8.5 | 2.10 | +76.5% | 12 | WIN |
| Kelly Oubre Jr. | Indiana Pacers | Rebounds | over | 3.5 | 2.03 | +71.5% | 1 | LOSS |
| Kelly Oubre Jr. | Indiana Pacers | Points | over | 9.5 | 1.85 | +69.7% | 2 | LOSS |
| DeMar DeRozan | Denver Nuggets | Rebounds | over | 2.5 | 2.16 | +63.8% | 1 | LOSS |
| Cameron Johnson | Denver Nuggets | Assists | over | 2.5 | 2.34 | +55.2% | 1 | LOSS |
| Obi Toppin | Indiana Pacers | Points | under | 11.5 | 1.82 | +43.3% | 10 | WIN |
| Obi Toppin | Indiana Pacers | Rebounds | under | 4.5 | 1.88 | +35.4% | 7 | LOSS |
| Christian Braun | Denver Nuggets | Points | over | 12.5 | 1.79 | +31.8% | 6 | LOSS |
| DeMar DeRozan | Denver Nuggets | Assists | over | 2.5 | 1.62 | +31.1% | 5 | WIN |
| Jamal Murray | Denver Nuggets | Points | under | 22.5 | 1.88 | +29.2% | 16 | WIN |
| Aaron Gordon | Denver Nuggets | Rebounds | under | 5.5 | 1.86 | +23.2% | 5 | WIN |
| Aaron Gordon | Denver Nuggets | Assists | over | 2.5 | 1.97 | +20.8% | 0 | LOSS |
| Pascal Siakam | Indiana Pacers | Points | under | 20.5 | 1.97 | +19.5% | 23 | LOSS |
| Christian Braun | Denver Nuggets | Assists | over | 2.5 | 2.36 | +17.6% | 1 | LOSS |
| Christian Braun | Denver Nuggets | Rebounds | over | 4.5 | 1.97 | +15.4% | 4 | LOSS |
| Jamal Murray | Denver Nuggets | Rebounds | under | 4.5 | 1.83 | +14.6% | 6 | LOSS |
| Aaron Gordon | Denver Nuggets | Points | over | 12.5 | 1.80 | +14.2% | 12 | LOSS |
| Aaron Nesmith | Indiana Pacers | Rebounds | over | 3.5 | 2.00 | +13.4% | 5 | WIN |
| Nikola Jokic | Denver Nuggets | Points | over | 26.5 | 1.94 | +13.4% | 19 | LOSS |
| Jamal Murray | Denver Nuggets | Assists | under | 6.5 | 1.75 | +13.2% | 8 | LOSS |
| Aaron Nesmith | Indiana Pacers | Points | under | 12.5 | 1.79 | +9.3% | 8 | WIN |
| Andrew Nembhard | Indiana Pacers | Rebounds | over | 2.5 | 1.59 | +8.2% | 1 | LOSS |
| Cameron Johnson | Denver Nuggets | Rebounds | over | 3.5 | 1.65 | +6.1% | 4 | WIN |
| Nikola Jokic | Denver Nuggets | Assists | under | 9.5 | 1.99 | +2.8% | 8 | WIN |
Recent NBA games for these teams
Other games involving Indiana Pacers or Denver Nuggets that we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thu, Nov 5, 2026 | Indiana Pacers at Memphis Grizzlies | 21 | 42.9% | View → |
| Thu, Nov 5, 2026 | Toronto Raptors at Denver Nuggets | 23 | 52.2% | View → |
| Sun, Nov 1, 2026 | Brooklyn Nets at Indiana Pacers | 24 | 45.8% | View → |
| Sat, Oct 31, 2026 | Indiana Pacers at Miami Heat | 14 | 42.9% | View → |
| Thu, Oct 29, 2026 | Denver Nuggets at New Orleans Pelicans | 20 | 55.0% | View → |
| Wed, Oct 28, 2026 | Philadelphia 76ers at Indiana Pacers | 21 | 42.9% | View → |
Tomorrow’s NBA edges drop at 01:00 ET
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