NFL · Sun, Nov 8, 2026

Los Angeles Rams at Washington Commanders

Final score: Los Angeles Rams 20 · 13 Washington Commanders. 33 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.

Final score20 · 13

Tracked picks33

Hit rate48.5%

Decided / Wins33 / 16

Match line picks

The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.

Market	Pick	Line	Odds	EV	Result
Spread	away	4.5	1.89	+7.5%	WIN
Moneyline	away	0	1.46	+2.2%	WIN
Game Total	over	47.5	1.89	+1.5%	LOSS

Player prop picks

Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.

Player	Team	Stat	Pick	Line	Odds	EV	Actual	Result
Antonio Williams	Washington Commanders	Receiving Yards	under	49.5	1.91	+49.7%	25	WIN
Rachaad White	Washington Commanders	Receiving Yards	under	16.5	1.87	+45.9%	41	LOSS
Rachaad White	Washington Commanders	Receiving Yards	under	15.5	1.92	+45.3%	41	LOSS
Antonio Williams	Washington Commanders	Receptions	under	4.5	1.80	+38.4%	3	WIN
Van Jefferson	Washington Commanders	Receiving Yards	over	10.5	1.91	+37.0%	58	WIN
Rachaad White	Washington Commanders	Receptions	under	2.5	2.14	+36.5%	2	WIN
Austin Ekeler	Washington Commanders	Receiving Yards	over	7.5	1.88	+34.8%	18	WIN
Kyren Williams	Los Angeles Rams	Rushing Yards	over	61.5	1.88	+34.4%	45	LOSS
Van Jefferson	Washington Commanders	Receptions	over	1.5	2.75	+30.6%	5	WIN
Austin Ekeler	Washington Commanders	Receptions	over	1.5	2.25	+29.0%	2	WIN
Konata Mumpfield	Los Angeles Rams	Receiving Yards	under	13.5	1.93	+22.5%	20	LOSS
Blake Corum	Los Angeles Rams	Receiving Yards	under	6.5	1.90	+21.5%	0	WIN
Konata Mumpfield	Los Angeles Rams	Receptions	under	1.5	1.70	+21.2%	2	LOSS
Matthew Stafford	Los Angeles Rams	Passing Yards	over	244.5	1.90	+17.4%	228	LOSS
Blake Corum	Los Angeles Rams	Receptions	under	1.5	1.49	+16.5%	0	WIN
Puka Nacua	Los Angeles Rams	Receiving Yards	under	93.5	1.90	+15.9%	150	LOSS
Matthew Stafford	Los Angeles Rams	Passing Yards	over	247.5	1.90	+14.9%	228	LOSS
Jayden Daniels	Washington Commanders	Passing Yards	under	216.5	1.90	+14.4%	274	LOSS
Rachaad White	Washington Commanders	Rushing Yards	under	35.5	1.91	+14.4%	28	WIN
Matthew Stafford	Los Angeles Rams	Passing TDs	over	1.5	1.71	+12.4%	1	LOSS
Puka Nacua	Los Angeles Rams	Receiving Yards	under	90.5	1.91	+11.9%	150	LOSS
Kyren Williams	Los Angeles Rams	Receiving Yards	under	20.5	1.89	+10.9%	16	WIN
Chig Okonkwo	Washington Commanders	Receptions	under	3.5	1.96	+10.1%	6	LOSS
Jayden Daniels	Washington Commanders	Passing TDs	under	1.5	1.62	+9.3%	1	WIN
Kyren Williams	Los Angeles Rams	Receiving Yards	under	19.5	1.90	+7.9%	16	WIN
Puka Nacua	Los Angeles Rams	Receptions	over	7.5	1.74	+6.9%	14	WIN
Chig Okonkwo	Washington Commanders	Receiving Yards	under	36.5	1.87	+5.2%	57	LOSS
Stefon Diggs	Washington Commanders	Receiving Yards	under	47.5	1.88	+3.1%	51	LOSS
Stefon Diggs	Washington Commanders	Receptions	over	4.5	1.95	+1.6%	3	LOSS
Stefon Diggs	Washington Commanders	Receiving Yards	under	46.5	1.88	+0.8%	51	LOSS

Recent NFL games for these teams

Other games involving Washington Commanders or Los Angeles Rams that we’ve published picks for.

Date	Matchup	Picks	Hit rate
Mon, Nov 2, 2026	Philadelphia Eagles at Washington Commanders	28	42.9%	View →
Sun, Nov 1, 2026	Los Angeles Chargers at Los Angeles Rams	32	56.2%	View →
Sun, Oct 25, 2026	Los Angeles Rams at Las Vegas Raiders	21	81.0%	View →
Tue, Oct 20, 2026	Washington Commanders at San Francisco 49ers	24	50.0%	View →
Sun, Oct 18, 2026	Arizona Cardinals at Los Angeles Rams	34	35.3%	View →
Tue, Oct 13, 2026	Buffalo Bills at Los Angeles Rams	27	59.3%	View →

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