Private North American Sports ConsultingLimited AccessNBA · NHL · NFL · MLBVerified Track Record · 2026 YTDBy Application OnlySports betting carries real risk · Past results don’t guarantee future ones18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.orgPrivate North American Sports ConsultingLimited AccessNBA · NHL · NFL · MLBVerified Track Record · 2026 YTDBy Application OnlySports betting carries real risk · Past results don’t guarantee future ones18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org
NBA · Tue, Nov 10, 2026
Denver Nuggets at Houston Rockets
Final score: Denver Nuggets 100 · 110 Houston Rockets. 19 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Game Total | over | 217.5 | 1.87 | +14.0% | LOSS |
| Spread | away | -8.5 | 1.95 | +5.8% | LOSS |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alperen Sengun | Houston Rockets | Assists | under | 6.5 | 2.10 | +67.2% | 8 | LOSS |
| Kevin Durant | Houston Rockets | Points | over | 20.5 | 1.87 | +51.3% | 23 | WIN |
| Amen Thompson | Houston Rockets | Points | under | 15.5 | 1.98 | +50.6% | 8 | WIN |
| Fred VanVleet | Houston Rockets | Points | over | 11.5 | 1.80 | +30.5% | 12 | WIN |
| Alperen Sengun | Houston Rockets | Points | under | 20.5 | 1.85 | +28.9% | 20 | WIN |
| Nikola Jokic | Denver Nuggets | Points | over | 25.5 | 1.83 | +20.4% | 25 | LOSS |
| Jamal Murray | Denver Nuggets | Rebounds | under | 4.5 | 1.91 | +19.6% | 2 | WIN |
| Jamal Murray | Denver Nuggets | Assists | under | 6.5 | 1.82 | +17.7% | 2 | WIN |
| Tari Eason | Houston Rockets | Points | over | 9.5 | 1.86 | +17.1% | 12 | WIN |
| Jamal Murray | Denver Nuggets | Points | under | 21.5 | 1.92 | +16.6% | 38 | LOSS |
| Fred VanVleet | Houston Rockets | Rebounds | over | 2.5 | 1.57 | +15.7% | 1 | LOSS |
| Marcus Smart | Houston Rockets | Points | over | 7.5 | 1.90 | +14.5% | 5 | LOSS |
| Alperen Sengun | Houston Rockets | Rebounds | over | 8.5 | 1.72 | +11.5% | 12 | WIN |
| Nikola Jokic | Denver Nuggets | Rebounds | over | 11.5 | 2.00 | +6.5% | 16 | WIN |
| Kevin Durant | Houston Rockets | Rebounds | over | 5.5 | 1.93 | +4.3% | 12 | WIN |
| Nikola Jokic | Denver Nuggets | Assists | over | 8.5 | 1.70 | +4.2% | 9 | WIN |
| Amen Thompson | Houston Rockets | Rebounds | over | 6.5 | 1.71 | +3.6% | 9 | WIN |
Recent NBA games for these teams
Other games involving Houston Rockets or Denver Nuggets that we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Nov 8, 2026 | Houston Rockets at Phoenix Suns | 15 | 60.0% | View → |
| Sat, Nov 7, 2026 | Denver Nuggets at Indiana Pacers | 29 | 37.9% | View → |
| Thu, Nov 5, 2026 | Minnesota Timberwolves at Houston Rockets | 31 | 41.9% | View → |
| Thu, Nov 5, 2026 | Toronto Raptors at Denver Nuggets | 23 | 52.2% | View → |
| Tue, Nov 3, 2026 | Boston Celtics at Houston Rockets | 19 | 36.8% | View → |
| Sun, Nov 1, 2026 | Oklahoma City Thunder at Houston Rockets | 9 | 55.6% | View → |
Tomorrow’s NBA edges drop at 01:00 ET
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