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NBA · Wed, Nov 11, 2026
Oklahoma City Thunder at Portland Trail Blazers
Final score: Oklahoma City Thunder 103 · 123 Portland Trail Blazers. 28 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | away | 2.5 | 1.95 | +6.5% | LOSS |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scoot Henderson | Portland Trail Blazers | Assists | over | 2.5 | 2.40 | +92.1% | 4 | WIN |
| Ajay Mitchell | Oklahoma City Thunder | Rebounds | under | 3.5 | 2.18 | +83.0% | 3 | WIN |
| Donovan Clingan | Portland Trail Blazers | Points | under | 10.5 | 1.96 | +81.6% | 7 | WIN |
| Ajay Mitchell | Oklahoma City Thunder | Assists | under | 3.5 | 2.01 | +79.6% | 3 | WIN |
| Ajay Mitchell | Oklahoma City Thunder | Points | under | 19.5 | 1.81 | +79.2% | 14 | WIN |
| Damian Lillard | Portland Trail Blazers | Assists | over | 4.5 | 2.24 | +77.2% | 3 | LOSS |
| Deni Avdija | Portland Trail Blazers | Points | under | 21.5 | 1.91 | +75.4% | 24 | LOSS |
| Deni Avdija | Portland Trail Blazers | Assists | under | 5.5 | 2.06 | +70.5% | 8 | LOSS |
| Donovan Clingan | Portland Trail Blazers | Rebounds | under | 11.5 | 1.77 | +67.1% | 13 | LOSS |
| Kenrich Williams | Oklahoma City Thunder | Rebounds | under | 4.5 | 1.95 | +53.7% | 2 | WIN |
| Damian Lillard | Portland Trail Blazers | Points | over | 19.5 | 1.94 | +52.4% | 25 | WIN |
| Kenrich Williams | Oklahoma City Thunder | Points | under | 7.5 | 2.03 | +51.6% | 3 | WIN |
| Isaiah Hartenstein | Oklahoma City Thunder | Points | over | 7.5 | 1.72 | +49.1% | 7 | LOSS |
| Toumani Camara | Portland Trail Blazers | Assists | over | 1.5 | 2.12 | +44.8% | 3 | WIN |
| Donovan Clingan | Portland Trail Blazers | Assists | under | 1.5 | 2.15 | +34.3% | 3 | LOSS |
| Toumani Camara | Portland Trail Blazers | Rebounds | over | 3.5 | 1.61 | +32.0% | 3 | LOSS |
| Jrue Holiday | Portland Trail Blazers | Points | under | 12.5 | 1.90 | +27.3% | 11 | WIN |
| Damian Lillard | Portland Trail Blazers | Rebounds | over | 3.5 | 1.83 | +27.1% | 3 | LOSS |
| Toumani Camara | Portland Trail Blazers | Points | under | 12.5 | 1.86 | +20.4% | 12 | WIN |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander | Oklahoma City Thunder | Rebounds | over | 3.5 | 1.64 | +20.3% | 8 | WIN |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander | Oklahoma City Thunder | Points | under | 32.5 | 1.83 | +16.5% | 26 | WIN |
| Alex Caruso | Oklahoma City Thunder | Rebounds | under | 3.5 | 1.61 | +13.0% | 2 | WIN |
| Jared McCain | Oklahoma City Thunder | Rebounds | under | 3.5 | 1.60 | +10.9% | 3 | WIN |
| Jrue Holiday | Portland Trail Blazers | Assists | under | 4.5 | 1.65 | +9.7% | 2 | WIN |
| Jrue Holiday | Portland Trail Blazers | Rebounds | over | 3.5 | 1.67 | +5.7% | 1 | LOSS |
| Isaiah Hartenstein | Oklahoma City Thunder | Rebounds | under | 10.5 | 1.74 | +3.4% | 9 | WIN |
| Scoot Henderson | Portland Trail Blazers | Rebounds | over | 2.5 | 1.93 | +2.7% | 1 | LOSS |
Recent NBA games for these teams
Other games involving Portland Trail Blazers or Oklahoma City Thunder that we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Nov 8, 2026 | San Antonio Spurs at Portland Trail Blazers | 12 | 58.3% | View → |
| Sat, Nov 7, 2026 | Portland Trail Blazers at Los Angeles Lakers | 16 | 50.0% | View → |
| Thu, Nov 5, 2026 | Portland Trail Blazers at Phoenix Suns | 27 | 59.3% | View → |
| Thu, Nov 5, 2026 | Cleveland Cavaliers at Oklahoma City Thunder | 28 | 46.4% | View → |
| Tue, Nov 3, 2026 | Oklahoma City Thunder at Cleveland Cavaliers | 26 | 42.3% | View → |
| Sun, Nov 1, 2026 | Oklahoma City Thunder at Houston Rockets | 9 | 55.6% | View → |
Tomorrow’s NBA edges drop at 01:00 ET
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