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NBA · Thu, Nov 12, 2026
Denver Nuggets at Memphis Grizzlies
Final score: Denver Nuggets 123 · 118 Memphis Grizzlies. 13 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Game Total | over | 229.5 | 1.93 | +9.5% | WIN |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ty Jerome | Memphis Grizzlies | Points | under | 21.5 | 1.93 | +91.1% | 22 | LOSS |
| Cam Spencer | Memphis Grizzlies | Assists | under | 3.5 | 1.93 | +77.6% | 3 | WIN |
| Ty Jerome | Memphis Grizzlies | Assists | under | 5.5 | 1.75 | +61.9% | 5 | WIN |
| Jerami Grant | Memphis Grizzlies | Points | over | 10.5 | 1.84 | +52.3% | 14 | WIN |
| Cam Spencer | Memphis Grizzlies | Points | under | 7.5 | 1.78 | +49.6% | 15 | LOSS |
| Jerami Grant | Memphis Grizzlies | Rebounds | over | 2.5 | 2.00 | +42.6% | 2 | LOSS |
| Zach Edey | Memphis Grizzlies | Rebounds | under | 8.5 | 2.05 | +28.7% | 5 | WIN |
| Cam Spencer | Memphis Grizzlies | Rebounds | under | 2.5 | 1.76 | +27.8% | 3 | LOSS |
| Ty Jerome | Memphis Grizzlies | Rebounds | under | 3.5 | 1.61 | +27.4% | 2 | WIN |
| Jerami Grant | Memphis Grizzlies | Assists | over | 1.5 | 1.79 | +21.6% | 2 | WIN |
| Jaylen Wells | Memphis Grizzlies | Rebounds | over | 2.5 | 1.59 | +8.2% | 2 | LOSS |
| Zach Edey | Memphis Grizzlies | Points | under | 9.5 | 1.83 | +0.2% | 2 | WIN |
Recent NBA games for these teams
Other games involving Memphis Grizzlies or Denver Nuggets that we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tue, Nov 10, 2026 | Memphis Grizzlies at Toronto Raptors | 9 | 33.3% | View → |
| Tue, Nov 10, 2026 | Denver Nuggets at Houston Rockets | 19 | 63.2% | View → |
| Sat, Nov 7, 2026 | Denver Nuggets at Indiana Pacers | 29 | 37.9% | View → |
| Thu, Nov 5, 2026 | Indiana Pacers at Memphis Grizzlies | 21 | 42.9% | View → |
| Thu, Nov 5, 2026 | Toronto Raptors at Denver Nuggets | 23 | 52.2% | View → |
| Tue, Nov 3, 2026 | New Orleans Pelicans at Memphis Grizzlies | 27 | 66.7% | View → |
Tomorrow’s NBA edges drop at 01:00 ET
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