Private North American Sports ConsultingLimited AccessNBA · NHL · NFL · MLBVerified Track Record · 2026 YTDBy Application OnlySports betting carries real risk · Past results don’t guarantee future ones18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.orgPrivate North American Sports ConsultingLimited AccessNBA · NHL · NFL · MLBVerified Track Record · 2026 YTDBy Application OnlySports betting carries real risk · Past results don’t guarantee future ones18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org
NBA · Thu, Nov 12, 2026
Golden State Warriors at Houston Rockets
Final score: Golden State Warriors 108 · 115 Houston Rockets. 11 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Game Total | over | 222.5 | 1.95 | +1.5% | WIN |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcus Smart | Houston Rockets | Points | over | 5.5 | 1.78 | +50.1% | 6 | WIN |
| Amen Thompson | Houston Rockets | Points | under | 15.5 | 1.87 | +42.3% | 19 | LOSS |
| Tari Eason | Houston Rockets | Points | over | 8.5 | 1.87 | +39.0% | 6 | LOSS |
| Kevin Durant | Houston Rockets | Points | over | 21.5 | 1.85 | +38.1% | 20 | LOSS |
| Fred VanVleet | Houston Rockets | Points | over | 11.5 | 1.83 | +32.6% | 18 | WIN |
| Fred VanVleet | Houston Rockets | Rebounds | over | 3.5 | 2.19 | +17.0% | 2 | LOSS |
| Alperen Sengun | Houston Rockets | Points | under | 19.5 | 1.89 | +16.0% | 19 | WIN |
| Tari Eason | Houston Rockets | Rebounds | over | 4.5 | 1.75 | +12.9% | 3 | LOSS |
| Alperen Sengun | Houston Rockets | Rebounds | over | 9.5 | 2.02 | +5.3% | 13 | WIN |
| Amen Thompson | Houston Rockets | Rebounds | over | 6.5 | 1.71 | +3.6% | 7 | WIN |
Recent NBA games for these teams
Other games involving Houston Rockets or Golden State Warriors that we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tue, Nov 10, 2026 | Denver Nuggets at Houston Rockets | 19 | 63.2% | View → |
| Tue, Nov 10, 2026 | New Orleans Pelicans at Golden State Warriors | 9 | 55.6% | View → |
| Sun, Nov 8, 2026 | Houston Rockets at Phoenix Suns | 15 | 60.0% | View → |
| Sun, Nov 8, 2026 | Orlando Magic at Golden State Warriors | 7 | 28.6% | View → |
| Fri, Nov 6, 2026 | Miami Heat at Golden State Warriors | 17 | 47.1% | View → |
| Thu, Nov 5, 2026 | Minnesota Timberwolves at Houston Rockets | 31 | 41.9% | View → |
Tomorrow’s NBA edges drop at 01:00 ET
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