MLB · Fri, May 8, 2026
Detroit Tigers at Kansas City Royals
Final score: Detroit Tigers 3 – 4 Kansas City Royals. 11 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | away | 0 | 2.23 | +2.6% | LOSS |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jahmai Jones | Detroit Tigers | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.39 | +49.6% | 0 | WIN |
| Dillon Dingler | Detroit Tigers | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.76 | +46.9% | 0 | LOSS |
| Matt Vierling | Detroit Tigers | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.49 | +39.5% | 0 | LOSS |
| Keider Montero | Detroit Tigers | Strikeouts | over | 3.5 | 1.89 | +37.0% | 4 | WIN |
| Riley Greene | Detroit Tigers | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.21 | +28.0% | 0 | LOSS |
| Maikel Garcia | Kansas City Royals | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.42 | +4.5% | 1 | WIN |
| Jahmai Jones | Detroit Tigers | RBIs | under | 0.5 | 1.39 | +3.6% | 0 | WIN |
| Jac Caglianone | Kansas City Royals | RBIs | under | 0.5 | 1.38 | +2.7% | 0 | WIN |
| Bobby Witt Jr. | Kansas City Royals | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.46 | +1.6% | 1 | WIN |
| Vinnie Pasquantino | Kansas City Royals | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.54 | +1.3% | 0 | LOSS |
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