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MLB · Sat, Sep 26, 2026
Pittsburgh Pirates at Detroit Tigers
Final score: Pittsburgh Pirates 3 · 4 Detroit Tigers. 12 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Game Total | under | 8.5 | 1.87 | +5.9% | WIN |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan O'Hearn | Pittsburgh Pirates | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.84 | +42.0% | 0 | LOSS |
| Brandon Lowe | Pittsburgh Pirates | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.97 | +39.3% | 1 | WIN |
| Spencer Horwitz | Pittsburgh Pirates | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.64 | +30.7% | 0 | LOSS |
| Oneil Cruz | Pittsburgh Pirates | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.63 | +30.6% | 0 | LOSS |
| Hao-Yu Lee | Detroit Tigers | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.44 | +14.3% | 2 | LOSS |
| Konnor Griffin | Pittsburgh Pirates | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.29 | +11.0% | 0 | LOSS |
| Bryan Reynolds | Pittsburgh Pirates | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.91 | +5.2% | 1 | WIN |
| Konnor Griffin | Pittsburgh Pirates | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.85 | +3.6% | 2 | LOSS |
| Oneil Cruz | Pittsburgh Pirates | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.57 | +2.0% | 0 | LOSS |
| Jake Mangum | Pittsburgh Pirates | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.48 | +1.6% | 0 | WIN |
| Bryan Reynolds | Pittsburgh Pirates | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.58 | +0.1% | 2 | LOSS |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Detroit Tigers or Pittsburgh Piratesthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Pittsburgh Pirates at Detroit Tigers | 16 | 37.5% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | St. Louis Cardinals at Pittsburgh Pirates | 27 | 29.6% | View → |
| Wed, Sep 23, 2026 | Washington Nationals at Detroit Tigers | 28 | 32.1% | View → |
| Tue, Sep 22, 2026 | St. Louis Cardinals at Pittsburgh Pirates | 7 | 28.6% | View → |
| Tue, Sep 22, 2026 | Washington Nationals at Detroit Tigers | 1 | 0.0% | View → |
| Mon, Sep 21, 2026 | Washington Nationals at Detroit Tigers | 7 | 0.0% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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