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MLB · Fri, Sep 25, 2026
Pittsburgh Pirates at Detroit Tigers
Final score: Pittsburgh Pirates 7 · 8 Detroit Tigers. 16 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home | 0 | 1.91 | +1.7% | WIN |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Clark | Detroit Tigers | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.57 | +38.1% | 0 | LOSS |
| Brett Callahan | Detroit Tigers | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.08 | +24.6% | 1 | LOSS |
| Kevin McGonigle | Detroit Tigers | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.32 | +22.9% | 0 | LOSS |
| Eduardo Valencia | Detroit Tigers | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.24 | +22.8% | 0 | LOSS |
| John Peck | Detroit Tigers | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.06 | +20.8% | 1 | LOSS |
| Spencer Torkelson | Detroit Tigers | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.16 | +20.1% | 3 | WIN |
| Riley Greene | Detroit Tigers | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.82 | +18.9% | 0 | LOSS |
| John Peck | Detroit Tigers | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.71 | +17.3% | 0 | LOSS |
| Hao-Yu Lee | Detroit Tigers | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.32 | +14.6% | 0 | LOSS |
| Hao-Yu Lee | Detroit Tigers | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.40 | +11.7% | 0 | WIN |
| Oneil Cruz | Pittsburgh Pirates | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.64 | +6.5% | 1 | WIN |
| Bubba Chandler | Pittsburgh Pirates | Strikeouts | over | 4.5 | 1.96 | +2.3% | 2 | LOSS |
| Riley Greene | Detroit Tigers | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.59 | +1.3% | 1 | WIN |
| Konnor Griffin | Pittsburgh Pirates | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.39 | +1.1% | 0 | WIN |
| Jake Mangum | Pittsburgh Pirates | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.46 | +0.9% | 1 | LOSS |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Detroit Tigers or Pittsburgh Piratesthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | Pittsburgh Pirates at Detroit Tigers | 12 | 33.3% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | St. Louis Cardinals at Pittsburgh Pirates | 27 | 29.6% | View → |
| Wed, Sep 23, 2026 | Washington Nationals at Detroit Tigers | 28 | 32.1% | View → |
| Tue, Sep 22, 2026 | St. Louis Cardinals at Pittsburgh Pirates | 7 | 28.6% | View → |
| Tue, Sep 22, 2026 | Washington Nationals at Detroit Tigers | 1 | 0.0% | View → |
| Mon, Sep 21, 2026 | Washington Nationals at Detroit Tigers | 7 | 0.0% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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