MLB · Fri, May 8, 2026
St. Louis Cardinals at San Diego Padres
Final score: St. Louis Cardinals 6 – 0 San Diego Padres. 16 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | away | 0 | 2.44 | +8.9% | WIN |
| Game Total | over | 8 | 1.89 | +5.7% | LOSS |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alec Burleson | St. Louis Cardinals | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.90 | +57.3% | 0 | LOSS |
| Nolan Gorman | St. Louis Cardinals | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.49 | +53.1% | 1 | WIN |
| Freddy Fermin | San Diego Padres | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.13 | +38.8% | 0 | WIN |
| Jordan Walker | St. Louis Cardinals | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.67 | +36.2% | 0 | LOSS |
| Xander Bogaerts | San Diego Padres | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.82 | +30.7% | 0 | LOSS |
| Ramon Laureano | San Diego Padres | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.00 | +28.1% | 0 | LOSS |
| Jackson Merrill | San Diego Padres | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.03 | +20.9% | 0 | LOSS |
| Manny Machado | San Diego Padres | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.65 | +7.6% | 0 | LOSS |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. | San Diego Padres | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.39 | +6.9% | 0 | WIN |
| Jordan Walker | St. Louis Cardinals | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.59 | +5.6% | 0 | LOSS |
| Miguel Andujar | San Diego Padres | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.41 | +3.7% | 0 | WIN |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. | San Diego Padres | RBIs | under | 0.5 | 1.53 | +3.0% | 0 | WIN |
| Masyn Winn | St. Louis Cardinals | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.67 | +2.4% | 1 | WIN |
| Nolan Gorman | St. Louis Cardinals | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.93 | +1.8% | 1 | WIN |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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