MLB · Fri, May 8, 2026
Washington Nationals at Miami Marlins
Final score: Washington Nationals 3 – 2 Miami Marlins. 11 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | away | 0 | 2.19 | +8.6% | WIN |
| Game Total | over | 8.5 | 1.98 | +3.4% | LOSS |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liam Hicks | Miami Marlins | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.10 | +83.1% | 0 | LOSS |
| CJ Abrams | Washington Nationals | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.93 | +65.4% | 1 | WIN |
| Keibert Ruiz | Washington Nationals | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.42 | +43.4% | 0 | LOSS |
| James Wood | Washington Nationals | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.83 | +40.0% | 0 | LOSS |
| Curtis Mead | Washington Nationals | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.18 | +29.8% | 0 | LOSS |
| Foster Griffin | Washington Nationals | Strikeouts | over | 4.5 | 2.12 | +23.5% | 9 | WIN |
| Brady House | Washington Nationals | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.91 | +20.3% | 0 | LOSS |
| Kyle Stowers | Miami Marlins | RBIs | under | 0.5 | 1.40 | +11.8% | 0 | WIN |
| Leo Jimenez | Miami Marlins | RBIs | under | 0.5 | 1.33 | +4.2% | 0 | WIN |
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