MLB · Sat, May 9, 2026
Detroit Tigers at Kansas City Royals
Final score: Detroit Tigers 1 – 5 Kansas City Royals. 13 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Game Total | over | 6.5 | 1.72 | +4.4% | LOSS |
| Moneyline | away | 0 | 2.23 | +2.6% | LOSS |
| Game Total | under | 9.5 | 1.85 | +2.1% | WIN |
| Game Total | under | 9 | 2.00 | +1.3% | WIN |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dillon Dingler | Detroit Tigers | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.73 | +42.9% | 0 | LOSS |
| Michael Wacha | Kansas City Royals | Strikeouts | over | 4.5 | 2.11 | +30.0% | 6 | WIN |
| Salvador Perez | Kansas City Royals | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.37 | +12.7% | 0 | WIN |
| Colt Keith | Detroit Tigers | RBIs | under | 0.5 | 1.39 | +8.5% | 0 | WIN |
| Kevin McGonigle | Detroit Tigers | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.50 | +7.9% | 1 | WIN |
| Maikel Garcia | Kansas City Royals | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.44 | +5.9% | 1 | WIN |
| Jac Caglianone | Kansas City Royals | RBIs | under | 0.5 | 1.40 | +4.9% | 0 | WIN |
| Bobby Witt Jr. | Kansas City Royals | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.49 | +3.8% | 1 | WIN |
| Riley Greene | Detroit Tigers | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.55 | +0.4% | 1 | WIN |
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