MLB · Sun, May 10, 2026
Washington Nationals at Miami Marlins
Final score: Washington Nationals 2 – 5 Miami Marlins. 26 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Game Total | over | 7.5 | 4.59 | +71.6% | LOSS |
| Moneyline | away | 0 | 2.74 | +23.6% | LOSS |
| Game Total | over | 6.5 | 1.92 | +18.3% | WIN |
| Game Total | over | 8.5 | 1.95 | +5.1% | LOSS |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CJ Abrams | Washington Nationals | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.20 | +84.5% | 0 | LOSS |
| Liam Hicks | Miami Marlins | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.91 | +67.0% | 1 | WIN |
| James Wood | Washington Nationals | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.40 | +66.9% | 0 | LOSS |
| Brady House | Washington Nationals | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 4.10 | +63.6% | 1 | WIN |
| Jakob Marsee | Miami Marlins | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.87 | +59.1% | 1 | WIN |
| Luis Garcia Jr. | Washington Nationals | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.50 | +42.1% | 1 | WIN |
| James Wood | Washington Nationals | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.68 | +30.0% | 1 | WIN |
| Drew Millas | Washington Nationals | Hits | under | 0.5 | 1.99 | +22.4% | 0 | WIN |
| Cade Cavalli | Washington Nationals | Strikeouts | over | 4.5 | 1.99 | +19.8% | 4 | LOSS |
| Joe Mack | Miami Marlins | Hits | over | 0.5 | 2.15 | +17.0% | 0 | LOSS |
| Kyle Stowers | Miami Marlins | RBIs | under | 0.5 | 1.50 | +12.8% | 0 | WIN |
| Sandy Alcantara | Miami Marlins | Strikeouts | over | 3.5 | 1.53 | +12.5% | 3 | LOSS |
| Otto Lopez | Miami Marlins | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.51 | +9.8% | 0 | LOSS |
| CJ Abrams | Washington Nationals | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.70 | +7.5% | 0 | LOSS |
| Daylen Lile | Washington Nationals | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.41 | +7.1% | 2 | LOSS |
| Christopher Morel | Miami Marlins | RBIs | under | 0.5 | 1.40 | +6.3% | 1 | LOSS |
| Jorbit Vivas | Washington Nationals | RBIs | under | 0.5 | 1.28 | +5.4% | 0 | WIN |
| Xavier Edwards | Miami Marlins | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.55 | +3.6% | 1 | WIN |
| Daylen Lile | Washington Nationals | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.70 | +3.3% | 2 | WIN |
| Brady House | Washington Nationals | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.77 | +2.4% | 0 | LOSS |
| Nasim Nunez | Washington Nationals | Hits | over | 0.5 | 2.10 | +2.2% | 0 | LOSS |
| Otto Lopez | Miami Marlins | RBIs | under | 0.5 | 1.57 | +1.7% | 1 | LOSS |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
Members receive the daily Parlay of the Day plus every positive-EV pick the model generates across NBA, MLB and NHL match lines and player props. Membership is by application.