MLB · Tue, May 12, 2026
Miami Marlins at Minnesota Twins
Final score: Miami Marlins 0 – 3 Minnesota Twins. 12 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home | 0 | 1.89 | +1.5% | WIN |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brooks Lee | Minnesota Twins | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.26 | +50.2% | 0 | LOSS |
| Liam Hicks | Miami Marlins | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.60 | +49.6% | 0 | LOSS |
| Ryan Jeffers | Minnesota Twins | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.95 | +48.9% | 2 | WIN |
| Kyle Stowers | Miami Marlins | RBIs | under | 0.5 | 1.58 | +20.1% | 0 | WIN |
| Bailey Ober | Minnesota Twins | Strikeouts | over | 4.5 | 2.27 | +16.8% | 7 | WIN |
| Bailey Ober | Minnesota Twins | Strikeouts | over | 3.5 | 1.64 | +14.5% | 7 | WIN |
| Josh Bell | Minnesota Twins | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.81 | +13.8% | 0 | LOSS |
| Byron Buxton | Minnesota Twins | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.52 | +6.9% | 0 | LOSS |
| Christopher Morel | Miami Marlins | RBIs | under | 0.5 | 1.44 | +4.8% | 0 | WIN |
| Brooks Lee | Minnesota Twins | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.71 | +3.9% | 0 | LOSS |
| Austin Martin | Minnesota Twins | RBIs | under | 0.5 | 1.36 | +1.9% | 0 | WIN |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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