MLB · Tue, May 12, 2026
Seattle Mariners at Houston Astros
Final score: Seattle Mariners 10 – 2 Houston Astros. 10 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home | 0 | 2.29 | +14.1% | LOSS |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Vazquez | Houston Astros | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.98 | +63.5% | 0 | LOSS |
| Luke Raley | Seattle Mariners | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.08 | +42.8% | 0 | LOSS |
| Cole Young | Seattle Mariners | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.20 | +31.3% | 0 | LOSS |
| Christian Walker | Houston Astros | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.74 | +27.8% | 1 | WIN |
| Yordan Alvarez | Houston Astros | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.40 | +16.9% | 0 | LOSS |
| Brendan Donovan | Seattle Mariners | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.37 | +9.4% | 1 | WIN |
| Jose Altuve | Houston Astros | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.40 | +5.2% | 1 | WIN |
| Josh Naylor | Seattle Mariners | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.38 | +4.8% | 1 | WIN |
| Julio Rodriguez | Seattle Mariners | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.40 | +0.9% | 0 | WIN |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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