MLB · Wed, May 13, 2026
Seattle Mariners at Houston Astros
Final score: Seattle Mariners 3 – 4 Houston Astros. 14 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home | 0 | 2.29 | +14.1% | WIN |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Vazquez | Houston Astros | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 4.36 | +74.8% | 0 | LOSS |
| Luke Raley | Seattle Mariners | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.06 | +39.5% | 1 | WIN |
| Zach Cole | Houston Astros | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.97 | +38.3% | 1 | WIN |
| Cole Young | Seattle Mariners | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.13 | +26.5% | 0 | LOSS |
| Christian Walker | Houston Astros | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.65 | +24.6% | 1 | WIN |
| Dominic Canzone | Seattle Mariners | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.08 | +22.9% | 0 | LOSS |
| Brendan Donovan | Seattle Mariners | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.43 | +13.9% | 0 | WIN |
| Yordan Alvarez | Houston Astros | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.24 | +7.6% | 0 | LOSS |
| Josh Naylor | Seattle Mariners | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.39 | +5.5% | 1 | WIN |
| Julio Rodriguez | Seattle Mariners | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.42 | +3.5% | 1 | WIN |
| Braden Shewmake | Houston Astros | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.87 | +3.0% | 2 | WIN |
| Randy Arozarena | Seattle Mariners | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.58 | +2.1% | 2 | WIN |
| Christian Vazquez | Houston Astros | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.81 | +0.7% | 0 | LOSS |
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