MLB · Fri, May 15, 2026
Boston Red Sox at Atlanta Braves
Final score: Boston Red Sox 2 – 3 Atlanta Braves. 5 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home | 0 | 1.64 | +5.8% | WIN |
| Game Total | over | 8 | 1.87 | +3.2% | LOSS |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connelly Early | Boston Red Sox | Strikeouts | over | 4.5 | 1.89 | +11.8% | 6 | WIN |
| Spencer Strider | Atlanta Braves | Strikeouts | under | 6.5 | 1.75 | +11.7% | 4 | WIN |
| Matt Olson | Atlanta Braves | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.53 | +0.9% | 0 | LOSS |
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