MLB · Fri, May 15, 2026
Miami Marlins at Tampa Bay Rays
Final score: Miami Marlins 2 – 7 Tampa Bay Rays. 4 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Game Total | over | 8 | 1.95 | +2.0% | WIN |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Janson Junk | Miami Marlins | Strikeouts | over | 3.5 | 1.85 | +30.9% | 4 | WIN |
| Jesse Scholtens | Tampa Bay Rays | Strikeouts | over | 3.5 | 1.65 | +12.4% | 4 | WIN |
| Xavier Edwards | Miami Marlins | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.48 | +4.7% | 2 | LOSS |
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