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MLB · Sun, Oct 18, 2026
Tampa Bay Rays at Cleveland Guardians
Final score: Tampa Bay Rays 7 · 3 Cleveland Guardians. 23 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brayan Rocchio | Cleveland Guardians | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 4.24 | +61.8% | 1 | WIN |
| Nick Martinez | Tampa Bay Rays | Strikeouts | over | 2.5 | 2.13 | +59.8% | 3 | WIN |
| Travis Bazzana | Cleveland Guardians | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 4.04 | +50.3% | 1 | WIN |
| Liam Hicks | Tampa Bay Rays | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.41 | +49.3% | 0 | LOSS |
| Yandy Diaz | Tampa Bay Rays | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.52 | +49.3% | 2 | WIN |
| Jonathan Aranda | Tampa Bay Rays | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.30 | +47.3% | 2 | WIN |
| Nathaniel Lowe | Cleveland Guardians | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.53 | +41.1% | 0 | LOSS |
| Richie Palacios | Tampa Bay Rays | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.79 | +41.0% | 0 | LOSS |
| Jo Adell | Cleveland Guardians | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.06 | +36.2% | 0 | LOSS |
| Chase DeLauter | Cleveland Guardians | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.37 | +33.9% | 1 | WIN |
| Junior Caminero | Tampa Bay Rays | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.75 | +27.1% | 1 | WIN |
| Petey Halpin | Cleveland Guardians | Hits | under | 0.5 | 1.96 | +18.2% | 0 | WIN |
| Victor Mesa Jr. | Tampa Bay Rays | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.31 | +18.1% | 0 | LOSS |
| Jose Ramirez | Cleveland Guardians | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.32 | +16.4% | 0 | LOSS |
| Patrick Bailey | Cleveland Guardians | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.04 | +13.8% | 1 | LOSS |
| Patrick Bailey | Cleveland Guardians | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.79 | +10.6% | 0 | LOSS |
| Taylor Walls | Tampa Bay Rays | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 4.12 | +8.6% | 0 | LOSS |
| Jose Ramirez | Cleveland Guardians | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.49 | +3.3% | 0 | WIN |
| Nathaniel Lowe | Cleveland Guardians | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.20 | +2.8% | 0 | WIN |
| Richie Palacios | Tampa Bay Rays | Hits | under | 0.5 | 1.98 | +2.4% | 3 | LOSS |
| Brayan Rocchio | Cleveland Guardians | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.75 | +2.1% | 1 | WIN |
| Victor Mesa Jr. | Tampa Bay Rays | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.19 | +1.4% | 1 | LOSS |
| Steven Kwan | Cleveland Guardians | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.72 | +0.7% | 1 | LOSS |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Cleveland Guardians or Tampa Bay Rays that we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thu, Oct 15, 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at Cleveland Guardians | 25 | 20.0% | View → |
| Wed, Oct 14, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Tampa Bay Rays | 22 | 27.3% | View → |
| Tue, Oct 13, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Tampa Bay Rays | 24 | 37.5% | View → |
| Sun, Oct 11, 2026 | Chicago White Sox at Cleveland Guardians | 31 | 19.4% | View → |
| Fri, Oct 9, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Chicago White Sox | 25 | 36.0% | View → |
| Thu, Oct 8, 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at New York Yankees | 27 | 48.1% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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